The Prediction Markets

2027 FIFA Women's World Cup Champion

Closes
Aug 9, 2027, in 10 months
Traded
$55K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

USA 21.8%

Next is Spain at 21.4%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

USA 21.8%Spain 21.4%England 12.7%Brazil 7.7%Germany 6.9%27 others 29.5%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
USA
21.8%
Kalshi 24.7%(21.8% fair)polled, 31s agoBest Yes 24.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $402 (4.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
USA
Last price
24.7%
Fair, margin removed
21.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24.9¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$402 (4.02x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Spain
21.4%
Kalshi 24.3%(21.4% fair)polled, 31s agoBest Yes 24.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $412 (4.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Spain
Last price
24.3%
Fair, margin removed
21.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24.3¢
Sell Yes
23.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$412 (4.12x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Kalshi
England
12.7%
Kalshi 14.4%(12.7% fair)polled, 31s agoBest Yes 14.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $680 (6.80x)
Kalshi
Contract
England
Last price
14.4%
Fair, margin removed
12.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14.7¢
Sell Yes
7.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$680 (6.80x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Brazil
7.7%
Kalshi 8.7%(7.7% fair)polled, 31s agoBest Yes 13.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $758 (7.58x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brazil
Last price
8.7%
Fair, margin removed
7.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13.2¢
Sell Yes
8.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$758 (7.58x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Germany
6.9%
Kalshi 7.9%(7% fair)polled, 31s agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Germany
Last price
7.9%
Fair, margin removed
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
France
6.2%
Kalshi 7%(6.2% fair)polled, 31s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
France
Last price
7%
Fair, margin removed
6.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$745
Trade this on Kalshi
Japan
4.9%
Kalshi 5.6%(4.9% fair)polled, 31s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Japan
Last price
5.6%
Fair, margin removed
4.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
5.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Canada
4.4%
Kalshi 5%(4.4% fair)polled, 31s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Canada
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
4.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$238
Trade this on Kalshi
Australia
1.4%
Kalshi 1.6%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Australia
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$679
Trade this on Kalshi
Colombia
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Kalshi
Contract
Colombia
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 22 more outcomes
Netherlands
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Kalshi
Contract
Netherlands
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$363
Trade this on Kalshi
New Zealand
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Zealand
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Kalshi
Norway
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Kalshi
Contract
Norway
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$309
Trade this on Kalshi
Philippines
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Philippines
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$816
Trade this on Kalshi
Sweden
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sweden
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$164
Trade this on Kalshi
Argentina
0.8%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Argentina
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$336
Trade this on Kalshi
Jamaica
0.8%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jamaica
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Morocco
0.8%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Morocco
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$156
Trade this on Kalshi
Korea Republic
0.6%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Korea Republic
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Kalshi
Switzerland
0.6%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Switzerland
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$471
Trade this on Kalshi
Vietnam
0.6%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vietnam
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$935
Trade this on Kalshi
Haiti
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Haiti
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Italy
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Italy
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nigeria
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nigeria
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Costa Rica
0.3%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Costa Rica
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ireland
0.3%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ireland
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Panama
0.3%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
Panama
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Trade this on Kalshi
South Africa
0.3%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Africa
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Zambia
0.3%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zambia
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Trade this on Kalshi
China PR
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
China PR
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Kalshi
Denmark
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Denmark
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Kalshi
Portugal
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portugal
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$182
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • USA
  • Spain
  • England

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "2027 FIFA Women's World Cup Champion". USA leads at 21.8%. Next is Spain at 21.4%. $55K has traded across 32 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Aug 9, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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