The Prediction Markets

2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion

Closes
Apr 20, 2027, in 6 months
Traded
$12.6M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
2 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

TCU 25.3%

Next is Ohio State at 24.9%. The venues differ most on Ohio St. (Polymarket 19%, Kalshi 0.4%), a 19-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
TCU
25.3%
Polymarket 25.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 50.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $198 (1.98x)
Polymarket
Contract
TCU
Last price
25.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
50.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$198 (1.98x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Polymarket
Ohio State
24.9%
Polymarket 24.9%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 49.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $201 (2.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma State
Last price
24.9%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
49.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$201 (2.01x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Duke
16.5%
Polymarket 21%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 15%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Duke
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$945
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Duke
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$616K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Florida
14.1%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 13%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Florida
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Florida
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$398K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Illinois
7%
Polymarket 10%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Illinois
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Illinois
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$228K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

UConn
6.5%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 7.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
UConn
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
8.1¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,235 (12.3x)
Volume
$554
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
UConn
Last price
7.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
6.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$322K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Ohio St.
5.1%
Polymarket 19%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 0.4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ohio State
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$520
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ohio St.
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$97K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Creighton
4.7%
Polymarket 18%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 0.2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Creighton
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Creighton
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$120K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

West Virginia
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
West Virginia
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas
4.1%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 4.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$311
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Texas
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$229K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Show 68 more outcomes
Louisville
4.1%
Polymarket 7.2%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 3.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Louisville
Last price
7.2%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
11.1¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$901 (9.01x)
Volume
$154
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Louisville
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$172K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Arizona
4.1%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 3.9%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arizona
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
7.4¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,351 (13.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Arizona
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
3.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$224K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Kansas
3.9%
Polymarket 6.7%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kansas
Last price
6.7%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
12.9¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$775 (7.75x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kansas
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$288K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Arkansas
3.9%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 3.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arkansas
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Arkansas
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
2.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$384K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Michigan St.
3.8%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 3.9%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michigan State
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$182
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Michigan St.
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
3.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$261K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Georgia
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Georgia
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
7.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,316 (13.2x)
Volume
$346
Trade this on Polymarket
Texas Tech
3.6%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 3.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas Tech
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
6.6¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,515 (15.2x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Texas Tech
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
3.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$354K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Tennessee
3.5%
Polymarket 6.3%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 2.6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tennessee
Last price
6.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
12.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$813 (8.13x)
Volume
$88
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$158K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

St. John's
3.4%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
St. John's
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Volume
$194
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
St. John's
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$371K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Gonzaga
3.1%
Polymarket 5.3%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 2.4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gonzaga
Last price
5.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Gonzaga
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$258K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Houston
2.7%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 3.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Houston
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$300
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Houston
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$123K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Kentucky
2.6%
Polymarket 6.3%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 1.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kentucky
Last price
6.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
11.4¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$877 (8.77x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kentucky
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$247K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

UCLA
2.5%
Polymarket 5.9%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 1.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
UCLA
Last price
5.9%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
11.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$862 (8.62x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
UCLA
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$121K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Michigan
2.3%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 1.9%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michigan
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$368
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Michigan
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$555K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Alabama
2.3%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 1.6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alabama
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
8.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,149 (11.5x)
Volume
$400
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Alabama
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$185K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Virginia
2.2%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 2.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Virginia
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Virginia
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$147K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Vanderbilt
2.2%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 1.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vanderbilt
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
11.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$901 (9.01x)
Volume
$53
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Vanderbilt
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$210K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Indiana
2.2%
Polymarket 5%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 1.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Indiana
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
9.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,031 (10.3x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Indiana
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$213K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

USC
2.2%
Polymarket 5%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 1.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
USC
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
USC
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$153K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Miami (FL)
2.1%
Polymarket 4%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 1.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
7.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,282 (12.8x)
Volume
$222
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL)
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$198K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Iowa
1.8%
Polymarket 5.6%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 0.6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iowa
Last price
5.6%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Iowa
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$109K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Nebraska
1.8%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 0.7%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nebraska
Last price
5.2%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
10.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$971 (9.71x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Nebraska
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$318K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

North Carolina
1.7%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 1.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
North Carolina
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$837
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
North Carolina
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$569K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Iowa St.
1.6%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 1.2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iowa State
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$141
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Iowa St.
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$229K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Missouri
1.6%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Missouri
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Volume
$63
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Missouri
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$279K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Texas A&M
1.6%
Polymarket 4%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 0.8%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Texas A&M
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Texas A&M
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$153K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Oregon
1.5%
Polymarket 5.4%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 0.2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oregon
Last price
5.4%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
10.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$952 (9.52x)
Volume
$32
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Oregon
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$50K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

LSU
1.3%
Kalshi 1.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
LSU
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$219K
Trade this on Kalshi
Oklahoma
1.1%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 0.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Volume
$250
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Oklahoma
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$111K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Saint Louis
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Saint Louis
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$729
Trade this on Polymarket
BYU
1%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
BYU
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$68
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
BYU
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$182K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

VCU
1%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 0.2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
VCU
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Volume
$179
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
VCU
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$142K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Villanova
1%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 0.8%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Villanova
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Villanova
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$184K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Providence
1%
Polymarket 3%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 0.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Providence
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$85
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Providence
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$146K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Purdue
0.9%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 0.8%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Purdue
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$364
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Purdue
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$229K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Baylor
0.9%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kalshi
Contract
Baylor
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$300K
Trade this on Kalshi
Wisconsin
0.7%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 2 h agoKalshi 0.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wisconsin
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Wisconsin
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$194K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 2 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Auburn
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
Contract
Auburn
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$151K
Trade this on Kalshi
Florida St.
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Florida St.
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$293K
Trade this on Kalshi
Cincinnati
0.3%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cincinnati
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$100K
Trade this on Kalshi
Clemson
0.3%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Clemson
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$154K
Trade this on Kalshi
Marquette
0.3%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marquette
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$139K
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St.
0.3%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St.
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$316K
Trade this on Kalshi
Syracuse
0.3%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Syracuse
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$258K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ole Miss
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ole Miss
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$92K
Trade this on Kalshi
SMU
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
SMU
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$84K
Trade this on Kalshi
Stanford
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stanford
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$87K
Trade this on Kalshi
Virginia Tech
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Virginia Tech
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Kalshi
Boise St.
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Boise St.
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$33K
Trade this on Kalshi
Boston College
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Boston College
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Butler
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Butler
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Colorado St.
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Colorado St.
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$34K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dayton
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dayton
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$72K
Trade this on Kalshi
Georgetown
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Georgetown
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
Loyola Chicago
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Loyola Chicago
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Memphis
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Memphis
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$26K
Trade this on Kalshi
Michigan St.
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mississippi St.
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$110K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nevada
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nevada
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Notre Dame
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Notre Dame
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$37K
Trade this on Kalshi
Pittsburgh
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pittsburgh
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$39K
Trade this on Kalshi
Richmond
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Richmond
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
San Diego St.
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Diego St.
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$212K
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Seton Hall
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seton Hall
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$51K
Trade this on Kalshi
St. Bonaventure
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
St. Bonaventure
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
St. John's
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Saint Mary's
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Kalshi
Wake Forest
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wake Forest
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Kalshi
Xavier
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Xavier
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$102K
Trade this on Kalshi

Venue prices are 2 h old, so we are not showing a cross-venue spread. Check each venue for current prices. Find markets with fresh spreads

Mostly the same bet: 4 differences

Where they differ

  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
  • Trading closes at different times: Apr 20, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Apr 27, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ncaa.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, Fox Sports
Show full rule comparison
  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
  • Trading closes Apr 20, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Apr 27, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • TCU
  • Ohio State
  • Duke

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list TCU for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion". TCU leads at 25.3%. Next is Ohio State at 24.9%. $12.6M has traded across 78 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 20, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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