The Prediction Markets

2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick

Closes
Jun 2, 2027, in 7 months
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

New Orleans Pelicans 11.5%

Next is Chicago Bulls at 11.1%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
New Orleans Pelicans
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
New Orleans Pelicans
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Chicago Bulls
11.1%
Polymarket 11.1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chicago Bulls
Last price
11.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$36
Trade this on Polymarket
Houston Rockets
11.1%
Polymarket 11.1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Houston Rockets
Last price
11.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$72
Trade this on Polymarket
Memphis Grizzlies
11.1%
Polymarket 11.1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Memphis Grizzlies
Last price
11.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$39
Trade this on Polymarket
Oklahoma City Thunder
11.1%
Polymarket 11.1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma City Thunder
Last price
11.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Sacramento Kings
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sacramento Kings
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlotte Hornets
10.7%
Polymarket 10.7%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlotte Hornets
Last price
10.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Boston Celtics
10.6%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Boston Celtics
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Cleveland Cavaliers
10.6%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cleveland Cavaliers
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Detroit Pistons
10.6%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Detroit Pistons
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 20 more outcomes
Golden State Warriors
10.6%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Golden State Warriors
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$36
Trade this on Polymarket
Indiana Pacers
10.6%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Indiana Pacers
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Los Angeles Clippers
10.6%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Los Angeles Clippers
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Los Angeles Lakers
10.6%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Los Angeles Lakers
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Miami Heat
10.6%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami Heat
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Minnesota Timberwolves
10.6%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Minnesota Timberwolves
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
New York Knicks
10.6%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
New York Knicks
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Orlando Magic
10.6%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orlando Magic
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$36
Trade this on Polymarket
Phoenix Suns
10.6%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Phoenix Suns
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Portland Trail Blazers
10.6%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Portland Trail Blazers
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
San Antonio Spurs
10.6%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
San Antonio Spurs
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Toronto Raptors
10.6%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toronto Raptors
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Washington Wizards
10.6%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Washington Wizards
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$111
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlanta Hawks
10.6%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlanta Hawks
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Denver Nuggets
10.6%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 20.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $478 (4.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Denver Nuggets
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$478 (4.78x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Dallas Mavericks
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dallas Mavericks
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$126
Trade this on Polymarket
Milwaukee Bucks
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milwaukee Bucks
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$54
Trade this on Polymarket
Utah Jazz
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Utah Jazz
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Brooklyn Nets
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brooklyn Nets
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$160
Trade this on Polymarket
Philadelphia 76ers
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Philadelphia 76ers
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • New Orleans Pelicans
  • Chicago Bulls
  • Houston Rockets

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick". New Orleans Pelicans leads at 11.5%. Next is Chicago Bulls at 11.1%. $1K has traded across 30 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 2, 2027.

This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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