The Prediction Markets

2028 Team USA Men's Basketball Roster

Closes
Jul 31, 2028, in 22 months
Traded
$15K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Anthony Edwards 96%

Next is Cooper Flagg at 91%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Anthony Edwards
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anthony Edwards
Last price
96%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi
Cooper Flagg
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cooper Flagg
Last price
91%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$221
Trade this on Kalshi
Cade Cunningham
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cade Cunningham
Last price
90%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$192
Trade this on Kalshi
Chet Holmgren
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chet Holmgren
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$724
Trade this on Kalshi
Jayson Tatum
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jayson Tatum
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Kalshi
Bam Adebayo
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bam Adebayo
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$663
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyrese Haliburton
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyrese Haliburton
Last price
69%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$255
Trade this on Kalshi
Kevin Durant
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kevin Durant
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$68
Trade this on Kalshi
Jalen Williams
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Williams
Last price
57%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Kalshi
Donovan Mitchell
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Donovan Mitchell
Last price
56%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$68
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 30 more outcomes
Devin Booker
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Devin Booker
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$498
Trade this on Kalshi
Kon Knueppel
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kon Knueppel
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyrese Maxey
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyrese Maxey
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$51
Trade this on Kalshi
Jalen Brunson
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Brunson
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Scottie Barnes
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Scottie Barnes
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$835
Trade this on Kalshi
Jalen Duren
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Duren
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Evan Mobley
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Evan Mobley
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi
Jaylen Brown
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jaylen Brown
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$267
Trade this on Kalshi
Stephen Curry
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stephen Curry
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$275
Trade this on Kalshi
Paolo Banchero
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paolo Banchero
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Amen Thompson
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Amen Thompson
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$495
Trade this on Kalshi
AJ Dybantsa
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
AJ Dybantsa
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$166
Trade this on Kalshi
Darryn Peterson
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Darryn Peterson
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$524
Trade this on Kalshi
Anthony Davis
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anthony Davis
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$321
Trade this on Kalshi
Cameron Boozer
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cameron Boozer
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$548
Trade this on Kalshi
LeBron James
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
LeBron James
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$882
Trade this on Kalshi
Jaren Jackson Jr.
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$112
Trade this on Kalshi
Joel Embiid
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joel Embiid
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
Donovan Clingan
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Donovan Clingan
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$43
Trade this on Kalshi
Austin Reaves
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Austin Reaves
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$167
Trade this on Kalshi
Derrick White
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Derrick White
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Jarrett Allen
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jarrett Allen
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Kalshi
Brandon Miller
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brandon Miller
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$743
Trade this on Kalshi
Walker Kessler
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Walker Kessler
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$344
Trade this on Kalshi
Amen Thompson
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ausar Thompson
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$87
Trade this on Kalshi
Mikal Bridges
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mikal Bridges
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$82
Trade this on Kalshi
Trey Murphy III
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trey Murphy III
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$101
Trade this on Kalshi
Trae Young
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trae Young
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyran Stokes
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyran Stokes
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$28
Trade this on Kalshi
Ja Morant
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ja Morant
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$90
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: NBC Sports, Sports Illustrated, ABC News

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Anthony Edwards
  • Cooper Flagg
  • Cade Cunningham

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "2028 Team USA Men's Basketball Roster". Anthony Edwards leads at 96%. Next is Cooper Flagg at 91%. $15K has traded across 40 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 31, 2028.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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