The Prediction Markets

2030 FIFA World Cup Champion

Closes
Jan 15, 2031, in 51 months
Traded
$830K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Spain 17.8%

Next is France at 13.2%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Spain 17.8%France 13.2%England 7.6%Argentina 7.5%Portugal 6.9%77 others 47%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Spain
17.8%
Kalshi 15.3%(17.8% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 16.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $610 (6.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Spain
Last price
15.3%
Fair, margin removed
17.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
16.4¢
Sell Yes
15.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$610 (6.10x)
Volume
$249K
Trade this on Kalshi
France
13.2%
Kalshi 11.3%(13.1% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 12.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $775 (7.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
France
Last price
11.3%
Fair, margin removed
13.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
12.9¢
Sell Yes
11.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$775 (7.75x)
Volume
$69K
Trade this on Kalshi
England
7.6%
Kalshi 6.5%(7.6% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
England
Last price
6.5%
Fair, margin removed
7.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
7.5¢
Sell Yes
6.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,333 (13.3x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Kalshi
Argentina
7.5%
Kalshi 6.4%(7.4% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Argentina
Last price
6.4%
Fair, margin removed
7.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
8.4¢
Sell Yes
6.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,190 (11.9x)
Volume
$50K
Trade this on Kalshi
Portugal
6.9%
Kalshi 5.9%(6.9% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portugal
Last price
5.9%
Fair, margin removed
6.9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
4.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Kalshi
Brazil
6.4%
Kalshi 5.5%(6.4% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brazil
Last price
5.5%
Fair, margin removed
6.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
5.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Germany
4.8%
Kalshi 4.1%(4.8% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Germany
Last price
4.1%
Fair, margin removed
4.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$34K
Trade this on Kalshi
Norway
4.4%
Kalshi 3.8%(4.4% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Norway
Last price
3.8%
Fair, margin removed
4.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Kalshi
Mexico
2.9%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mexico
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$49K
Trade this on Kalshi
USA
2.9%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
USA
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$41K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 72 more outcomes
Morocco
2.8%
Kalshi 2.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Morocco
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
2.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Kalshi
Italy
2.7%
Kalshi 2.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Italy
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Kalshi
Netherlands
2.6%
Kalshi 2.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Kalshi
Contract
Netherlands
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3.4¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,941 (29.4x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Belgium
1.6%
Kalshi 1.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Kalshi
Contract
Belgium
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Japan
1.4%
Kalshi 1.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Japan
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
Colombia
1.2%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Colombia
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Korea Republic
0.7%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Korea Republic
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Egypt
0.5%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Egypt
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Paraguay
0.5%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paraguay
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Poland
0.5%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Poland
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$334
Trade this on Kalshi
Switzerland
0.5%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Switzerland
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Uruguay
0.5%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
Contract
Uruguay
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Canada
0.4%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Canada
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$567
Trade this on Kalshi
Croatia
0.4%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Croatia
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ecuador
0.4%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ecuador
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Finland
0.4%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Finland
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Senegal
0.4%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Senegal
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ukraine
0.4%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ukraine
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Venezuela
0.4%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Venezuela
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Australia
0.3%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Australia
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$123
Trade this on Kalshi
Austria
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Austria
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Chile
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chile
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Costa Rica
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Costa Rica
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$545
Trade this on Kalshi
Czechia
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Czechia
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Denmark
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Denmark
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Ghana
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ghana
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Haiti
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Haiti
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Honduras
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Honduras
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Iraq
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iraq
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Ivory Coast
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ivory Coast
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jordan
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Peru
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Peru
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$297
Trade this on Kalshi
Qatar
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Qatar
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Kalshi
Romania
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Romania
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Scotland
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Scotland
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Sweden
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sweden
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
United Arab Emirates
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
United Arab Emirates
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$463
Trade this on Kalshi
Wales
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wales
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Albania
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Albania
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$685
Trade this on Kalshi
Algeria
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Algeria
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Bolivia
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bolivia
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Bosnia and Herzegovina
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Burkina Faso
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Burkina Faso
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Cameroon
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cameroon
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Cape Verde
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cape Verde
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Congo DR
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Congo DR
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Curacao
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Curacao
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$972
Trade this on Kalshi
Georgia
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Georgia
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Greece
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Kalshi
Contract
Greece
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hungary
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hungary
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Iceland
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iceland
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
IR Iran
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
IR Iran
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Ireland
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ireland
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Israel
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Israel
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$531
Trade this on Kalshi
Jamaica
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jamaica
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Kosovo
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kosovo
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Mali
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mali
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
New Caledonia
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Caledonia
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
New Zealand
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Zealand
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Nigeria
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nigeria
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$872
Trade this on Kalshi
North Macedonia
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
North Macedonia
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Northern Ireland
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Ireland
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Panama
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Panama
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Saudi Arabia
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Saudi Arabia
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Serbia
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Serbia
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Slovakia
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Slovakia
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Slovenia
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Slovenia
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Trade this on Kalshi
South Africa
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Africa
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Suriname
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Suriname
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Tunisia
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tunisia
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Turkiye
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Turkiye
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Uzbekistan
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Uzbekistan
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIFA, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Spain
  • France
  • England

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "2030 FIFA World Cup Champion". Spain leads at 17.8%. Next is France at 13.2%. $830K has traded across 82 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 15, 2031.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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