The Prediction Markets

2030 FIFA World Cup Qualifiers

Closes
Jan 15, 2031, in 52 months
Traded
$7K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Germany 99.8%

Next is England at 99.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Germany
99.8%
Kalshi 99.8%polled, just nowBest Yes 99.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Germany
Last price
99.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.8¢
Sell Yes
92.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi
England
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
England
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.5¢
Sell Yes
92.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$49
Trade this on Kalshi
Brazil
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, just nowBest Yes 99.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brazil
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.8¢
Sell Yes
93.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
France
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, just nowBest Yes 99.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
France
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.8¢
Sell Yes
92.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
Colombia
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 97.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Colombia
Last price
97.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97.5¢
Sell Yes
92.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
Netherlands
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Netherlands
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
Mexico
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, just nowBest Yes 99.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mexico
Last price
96%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.8¢
Sell Yes
91.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$462
Trade this on Kalshi
New Zealand
95.6%
Kalshi 95.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Zealand
Last price
95.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
92.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
USA
95.4%
Kalshi 95.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 95.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
USA
Last price
95.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95.4¢
Sell Yes
91.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$135
Trade this on Kalshi
Norway
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, just nowBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Norway
Last price
94%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$76
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 66 more outcomes
Japan
93.1%
Kalshi 93.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 97.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Japan
Last price
93.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97.1¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Australia
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Australia
Last price
93%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Italy
91.2%
Kalshi 91.2%polled, just nowBest Yes 91.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Italy
Last price
91.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91.2¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$273
Trade this on Kalshi
Belgium
90.1%
Kalshi 90.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 94.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Belgium
Last price
90.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94.1¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Croatia
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, just nowBest Yes 90.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Croatia
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90.8¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$17
Trade this on Kalshi
Ecuador
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, just nowBest Yes 90.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ecuador
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90.5¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
Korea Republic
83.5%
Kalshi 83.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
Korea Republic
Last price
83.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Saudi Arabia
83.5%
Kalshi 83.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
Saudi Arabia
Last price
83.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Switzerland
83.5%
Kalshi 83.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
Switzerland
Last price
83.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Austria
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, just nowBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Austria
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Denmark
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, just nowBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
Denmark
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
IR Iran
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, just nowBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
IR Iran
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Ukraine
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, just nowBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ukraine
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Algeria
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, just nowBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Algeria
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Egypt
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, just nowBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Egypt
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Sweden
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, just nowBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sweden
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Turkiye
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, just nowBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Turkiye
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$206
Trade this on Kalshi
Cameroon
73.5%
Kalshi 73.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cameroon
Last price
73.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Congo DR
73.5%
Kalshi 73.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Congo DR
Last price
73.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Costa Rica
73.5%
Kalshi 73.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Costa Rica
Last price
73.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ivory Coast
73.5%
Kalshi 73.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ivory Coast
Last price
73.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nigeria
73.5%
Kalshi 73.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nigeria
Last price
73.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Canada
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, just nowBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Canada
Last price
72%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Kalshi
Senegal
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, just nowBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Senegal
Last price
72%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Ghana
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, just nowBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ghana
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Chile
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, just nowBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chile
Last price
70%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$111
Trade this on Kalshi
Peru
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, just nowBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Peru
Last price
69%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$92
Trade this on Kalshi
Serbia
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, just nowBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
Serbia
Last price
66%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Kalshi
Cape Verde
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, just nowBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cape Verde
Last price
65%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Greece
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, just nowBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Greece
Last price
65%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Venezuela
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, just nowBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
Venezuela
Last price
65%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
Bolivia
63.5%
Kalshi 63.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bolivia
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Qatar
63.5%
Kalshi 63.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
Qatar
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tunisia
63.5%
Kalshi 63.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tunisia
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Trade this on Kalshi
United Arab Emirates
63.5%
Kalshi 63.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
United Arab Emirates
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Uzbekistan
63.5%
Kalshi 63.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
Uzbekistan
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Panama
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, just nowBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Panama
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Scotland
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, just nowBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Scotland
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Czechia
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Czechia
Last price
60%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$217
Trade this on Kalshi
Bosnia and Herzegovina
58.5%
Kalshi 58.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Last price
58.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Albania
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, just nowBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Albania
Last price
54%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$380
Trade this on Kalshi
Jordan
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, just nowBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$87
Trade this on Kalshi
Honduras
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, just nowBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Honduras
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
Ireland
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, just nowBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ireland
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Poland
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, just nowBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Poland
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Romania
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, just nowBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Romania
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Slovakia
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, just nowBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Slovakia
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$203
Trade this on Kalshi
Wales
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, just nowBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wales
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Curacao
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, just nowBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Curacao
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$210
Trade this on Kalshi
Burkina Faso
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Burkina Faso
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Haiti
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Haiti
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Iraq
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iraq
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mali
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mali
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
South Africa
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, just nowBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Africa
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$218
Trade this on Kalshi
Slovenia
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, just nowBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Slovenia
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$519
Trade this on Kalshi
Georgia
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, just nowBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Georgia
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
Hungary
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, just nowBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hungary
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Jamaica
33.5%
Kalshi 33.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jamaica
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kosovo
33.5%
Kalshi 33.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kosovo
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Northern Ireland
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, just nowBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Ireland
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Iceland
28.5%
Kalshi 28.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iceland
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Suriname
28.5%
Kalshi 28.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Suriname
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Finland
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, just nowBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Finland
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Israel
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, just nowBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Israel
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$108
Trade this on Kalshi
North Macedonia
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, just nowBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
North Macedonia
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
New Caledonia
8.9%
Kalshi 8.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 8.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Caledonia
Last price
8.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,124 (11.2x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Sky Sports, Fox Sports, FIFA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Germany
  • England
  • Brazil

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "2030 FIFA World Cup Qualifiers". Germany leads at 99.8%. Next is England at 99.5%. $7K has traded across 76 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 15, 2031.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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