The Prediction Markets

2nd Round 3-Ball: Silverman/Hughes/Roy

Closes
Nov 6, 2026, in 14 days
Traded
$11K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Kevin Roy beats Silverman and Hughes 40.2%

Next is Mackenzie Hughes beats Silverman and Roy at 34.3%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Kevin Roy beats Silverman and Hughes 40.2%Mackenzie Hughes beats Silverman and Roy 34.3%Ben Silverman beats Hughes and Roy 25.5%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Kevin Roy beats Silverman and Hughes
40.2%
Kalshi 41%(40.2% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kevin Roy beats Silverman and Hughes
Last price
41%
Fair, margin removed
40.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Mackenzie Hughes beats Silverman and Roy
34.3%
Kalshi 35%(34.3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mackenzie Hughes beats Silverman and Roy
Last price
35%
Fair, margin removed
34.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ben Silverman beats Hughes and Roy
25.5%
Kalshi 26%(25.5% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ben Silverman beats Hughes and Roy
Last price
26%
Fair, margin removed
25.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$130
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN, the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Kevin Roy beats Silverman and Hughes
  • Mackenzie Hughes beats Silverman and Roy
  • Ben Silverman beats Hughes and Roy

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Cover all 3 outcomes across venues

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "2nd Round 3-Ball: Silverman/Hughes/Roy". Kevin Roy beats Silverman and Hughes leads at 40.2%. Next is Mackenzie Hughes beats Silverman and Roy at 34.3%. $11K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 6, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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