Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
O/U 0.5 Rounds 82.5%
Next is Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita at 57.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
1 of 20 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
O/U 0.5 Rounds82.5%82.5%78¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 35s agoNot listed87¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $115 (1.15x)O/U 0.5 Rounds82.5%Polymarket 82.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
82.5%
82.5%
78¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
Not listed
87¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
82.5%
Polymarket 82.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 82.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 78¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita57.5%57.5%57¢ bid, 58¢ asklive, just nowNot listed58¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $172 (1.72x)Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita57.5%Polymarket 57.5%live, just nowBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita
57.5%
57.5%
57¢ bid, 58¢ ask
live, just now
Not listed
58¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita
57.5%
Polymarket 57.5%live, just nowBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita
- Price
- 57.5%
- As of
- Live feed, just now
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
- Volume
- $187K
O/U 1.5 Rounds57%57%56¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 35s agoNot listed58¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $172 (1.72x)O/U 1.5 Rounds57%Polymarket 57%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
57%
57%
56¢ bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
Not listed
58¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
57%
Polymarket 57%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 57%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
- Volume
- $924
Fight won by KO/TKO?54.5%54.5%52¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 35s agoNot listed57¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Fight won by KO/TKO?54.5%Polymarket 54.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
54.5%
54.5%
52¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
Not listed
57¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
54.5%
Polymarket 54.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 54.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $51
Ends before Round 3?52.5%52.5%51¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 35s agoNot listed54¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Ends before Round 3?52.5%Polymarket 52.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Ends before Round 3?
52.5%
52.5%
51¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
Not listed
54¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Ends before Round 3?
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 3?
- Last price
- 52.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds41.5%41.5%37¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 35s agoNot listed46¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $217 (2.17x)O/U 2.5 Rounds41.5%Polymarket 41.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
41.5%
41.5%
37¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
Not listed
46¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 41.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
Fight won by decision?36%36%32¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 35s agoNot listed40¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Fight won by decision?36%Polymarket 36%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Fight won by decision?
36%
36%
32¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
Not listed
40¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Fight won by decision?
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by decision?
- Last price
- 36%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
Decision or Draw35.5%35.5%31¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 35s agoNot listed40¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Decision or Draw35.5%Polymarket 35.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Decision or Draw
35.5%
35.5%
31¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
Not listed
40¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Decision or Draw
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Decision or Draw
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
Fight goes the distancePolymarket: “Fight to Go the Distance?”34%34%33¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 35s agoNot listed35¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Fight goes the distance34%Polymarket 34%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Fight goes the distance
Polymarket: “Fight to Go the Distance?”
34%
34%
33¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
Not listed
35¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Fight goes the distance
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight to Go the Distance?
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $1K
Fight goes the distance34%Not listed34%32¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 35s ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Fight goes the distance34%Kalshi 34%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Fight goes the distance
34%
Not listed
34%
32¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Fight goes the distance
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fight goes the distance
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $2K
Show 10 more outcomesHide 10 outcomes
Ends before Round 2?33%33%30¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 35s agoNot listed36¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Ends before Round 2?33%Polymarket 33%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Ends before Round 2?
33%
33%
30¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
Not listed
36¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Ends before Round 2?
33%
Polymarket 33%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 2?
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $5
Keita to win by KO/TKO?30%30%29¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 35s agoNot listed31¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Keita to win by KO/TKO?30%Polymarket 30%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Keita to win by KO/TKO?
30%
30%
29¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
Not listed
31¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Keita to win by KO/TKO?
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Keita to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $440
Pico to win by KO/TKO?27.5%27.5%24¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 35s agoNot listed31¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Pico to win by KO/TKO?27.5%Polymarket 27.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Pico to win by KO/TKO?
27.5%
27.5%
24¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
Not listed
31¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Pico to win by KO/TKO?
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pico to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 27.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
Keita in Round 115.5%15.5%11¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 35s agoNot listed20¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Keita in Round 115.5%Polymarket 15.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Keita in Round 1
15.5%
15.5%
11¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
Not listed
20¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Keita in Round 1
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Keita in Round 1
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Pico in Round 114.5%14.5%10¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 35s agoNot listed19¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Pico in Round 114.5%Polymarket 14.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Pico in Round 1
14.5%
14.5%
10¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
Not listed
19¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Pico in Round 1
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pico in Round 1
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Fight won by submission?10.5%10.5%6¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 35s agoNot listed15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Fight won by submission?10.5%Polymarket 10.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Fight won by submission?
10.5%
10.5%
6¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
Not listed
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Fight won by submission?
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by submission?
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $15
Pico in Round 210.5%10.5%6¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 35s agoNot listed15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Pico in Round 210.5%Polymarket 10.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Pico in Round 2
10.5%
10.5%
6¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
Not listed
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Pico in Round 2
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pico in Round 2
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Keita in Round 28.5%8.5%4¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 35s agoNot listed13¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Keita in Round 28.5%Polymarket 8.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Keita in Round 2
8.5%
8.5%
4¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
Not listed
13¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Keita in Round 2
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Keita in Round 2
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Pico in Round 38%8%4¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 35s agoNot listed12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Pico in Round 38%Polymarket 8%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Pico in Round 3
8%
8%
4¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
Not listed
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Pico in Round 3
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pico in Round 3
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Keita in Round 35.5%5.5%2¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 35s agoNot listed9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Keita in Round 35.5%Polymarket 5.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Keita in Round 3
5.5%
5.5%
2¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
Not listed
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Keita in Round 3
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Keita in Round 3
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports, DAZN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list O/U 0.5 Rounds for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita: Go the Distance". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 82.5%. Next is Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita at 57.5%. $192K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More sports markets
See all sports markets- F1 Drivers' ChampionKimi Antonelli97.7%$204.6M traded
- 2027 Pro Football ChampionSan Francisco16%$197.0M traded
- Pro Baseball ChampionMilwaukee72.3%$135.4M traded
- College Football National Championship WinnerGeorgia18%$64.5M traded
- 2027 Pro Basketball ChampionOklahoma City25%$46.6M traded
- MVP Winner?Josh Allen29%$37.0M traded