Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
O/U 0.5 Rounds 83.5%
Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 58.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
O/U 0.5 Rounds83.5%83.5%78¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed89¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $112 (1.12x)O/U 0.5 Rounds83.5%Polymarket 83.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
83.5%
83.5%
78¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
89¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
83.5%
Polymarket 83.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 83.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 78¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds58.5%58.5%58¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed59¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $169 (1.69x)O/U 1.5 Rounds58.5%Polymarket 58.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
58.5%
58.5%
58¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
59¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
58.5%
Polymarket 58.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 58.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $810
Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita56.5%56.5%56¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed57¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita56.5%Polymarket 56.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita
56.5%
56.5%
56¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
57¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita
56.5%
Polymarket 56.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita
- Last price
- 56.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $29K
Fight won by KO/TKO?54.5%54.5%51¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed58¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $172 (1.72x)Fight won by KO/TKO?54.5%Polymarket 54.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
54.5%
54.5%
51¢ bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
58¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
54.5%
Polymarket 54.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 54.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
Ends before Round 3?51%51%49¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed53¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Ends before Round 3?51%Polymarket 51%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Ends before Round 3?
51%
51%
49¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
53¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Ends before Round 3?
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 3?
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds42.5%42.5%37¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)O/U 2.5 Rounds42.5%Polymarket 42.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
42.5%
42.5%
37¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 42.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Decision or Draw36.5%36.5%31¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed42¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Decision or Draw36.5%Polymarket 36.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Decision or Draw
36.5%
36.5%
31¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
42¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Decision or Draw
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Decision or Draw
- Last price
- 36.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
Fight won by decision?36.5%36.5%31¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed42¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Fight won by decision?36.5%Polymarket 36.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Fight won by decision?
36.5%
36.5%
31¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
42¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Fight won by decision?
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by decision?
- Last price
- 36.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
Fight to Go the Distance?34.5%34.5%34¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed35¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Fight to Go the Distance?34.5%Polymarket 34.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
34.5%
34.5%
34¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
35¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight to Go the Distance?
- Last price
- 34.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $259
Decision / Draw / No Contest29%Not listed29%— bid, 35¢ askpolled, 1 min ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Decision / Draw / No Contest29%Kalshi 29%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Decision / Draw / No Contest
29%
Not listed
29%
— bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Decision / Draw / No Contest
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Decision / Draw / No Contest
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $200
Show 16 more outcomesHide 16 outcomes
Ends before Round 2?28.5%28.5%27¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed30¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Ends before Round 2?28.5%Polymarket 28.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Ends before Round 2?
28.5%
28.5%
27¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
30¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Ends before Round 2?
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 2?
- Last price
- 28.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
Keita to win by KO/TKO?28.5%28.5%25¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed32¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Keita to win by KO/TKO?28.5%Polymarket 28.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Keita to win by KO/TKO?
28.5%
28.5%
25¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
32¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Keita to win by KO/TKO?
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Keita to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 28.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $54
Pico to win by KO/TKO?26%26%23¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed29¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Pico to win by KO/TKO?26%Polymarket 26%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Pico to win by KO/TKO?
26%
26%
23¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
29¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Pico to win by KO/TKO?
26%
Polymarket 26%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pico to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
Losene Keita to win in Round 117%Not listed17%13¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 1 min ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Losene Keita to win in Round 117%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Losene Keita to win in Round 1
17%
Not listed
17%
13¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Losene Keita to win in Round 1
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Losene Keita to win in Round 1
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $388
Aaron Pico to win in Round 116%Not listed16%14¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 1 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Aaron Pico to win in Round 116%Kalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Aaron Pico to win in Round 1
16%
Not listed
16%
14¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Aaron Pico to win in Round 1
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Pico to win in Round 1
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $6
Pico in Round 115.5%15.5%10¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed21¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Pico in Round 115.5%Polymarket 15.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Pico in Round 1
15.5%
15.5%
10¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
21¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Pico in Round 1
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pico in Round 1
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
Keita in Round 115%15%10¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed20¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Keita in Round 115%Polymarket 15%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Keita in Round 1
15%
15%
10¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
20¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Keita in Round 1
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Keita in Round 1
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Losene Keita to win in Round 312%Not listed12%8¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 1 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Losene Keita to win in Round 312%Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Losene Keita to win in Round 3
12%
Not listed
12%
8¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Losene Keita to win in Round 3
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Losene Keita to win in Round 3
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $200
Pico in Round 211.5%11.5%6¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed17¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Pico in Round 211.5%Polymarket 11.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Pico in Round 2
11.5%
11.5%
6¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
17¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Pico in Round 2
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pico in Round 2
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Aaron Pico to win in Round 211%Not listed11%6¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 1 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Aaron Pico to win in Round 211%Kalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Aaron Pico to win in Round 2
11%
Not listed
11%
6¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Aaron Pico to win in Round 2
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Pico to win in Round 2
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $7
Keita in Round 210.5%10.5%5¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed16¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Keita in Round 210.5%Polymarket 10.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Keita in Round 2
10.5%
10.5%
5¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
16¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Keita in Round 2
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Keita in Round 2
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Fight won by submission?10%10%6¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed14¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Fight won by submission?10%Polymarket 10%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Fight won by submission?
10%
10%
6¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
14¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Fight won by submission?
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by submission?
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Losene Keita to win in Round 210%Not listed10%7¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Losene Keita to win in Round 210%Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Losene Keita to win in Round 2
10%
Not listed
10%
7¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Losene Keita to win in Round 2
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Losene Keita to win in Round 2
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $201
Pico in Round 37.5%7.5%3¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Pico in Round 37.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Pico in Round 3
7.5%
7.5%
3¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Pico in Round 3
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pico in Round 3
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Aaron Pico to win in Round 37%Not listed7%5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Aaron Pico to win in Round 37%Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Aaron Pico to win in Round 3
7%
Not listed
7%
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Aaron Pico to win in Round 3
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Pico to win in Round 3
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $10
Keita in Round 37%7%3¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 48s agoNot listed11¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Keita in Round 37%Polymarket 7%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Keita in Round 3
7%
7%
3¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
Not listed
11¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Keita in Round 3
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Keita in Round 3
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Paramount+, Fox Sports
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list O/U 0.5 Rounds for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita: Round of Victory". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 83.5%. Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 58.5%. $32K has traded across 26 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More sports markets
See all sports markets- F1 Drivers' ChampionKimi Antonelli98.1%$204.6M traded
- 2027 Pro Football ChampionSan Francisco17%$196.0M traded
- Pro Baseball ChampionMilwaukee64.5%$133.9M traded
- College Football National Championship WinnerMiami (FL)15%$63.8M traded
- 2027 Pro Basketball ChampionOklahoma City25%$45.2M traded
- MVP Winner?Josh Allen27%$36.8M traded