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What the markets expect
Pittsburgh 71.2%
Next is Retires / No Team at 5.3%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Pittsburgh71.2%93%71.3% fair93¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 21s ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Pittsburgh71.2%Kalshi 93%(71.3% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Pittsburgh
71.2%
93%
71.3% fair
93¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Pittsburgh
71.2%
Kalshi 93%(71.3% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pittsburgh
- Last price
- 93%
- Fair, margin removed
- 71.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $385K
Retires / No Team5.3%7%5.4% fair6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 21s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Retires / No Team5.3%Kalshi 7%(5.4% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Retires / No Team
5.3%
7%
5.4% fair
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Retires / No Team
5.3%
Kalshi 7%(5.4% fair)polled, 21s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Retires / No Team
- Last price
- 7%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $2.5M
Arizona0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Arizona0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Arizona
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Arizona
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arizona
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $42K
Atlanta0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Atlanta0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Atlanta
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Atlanta
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Atlanta
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $15K
Baltimore0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Baltimore0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Baltimore
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Baltimore
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $11K
Buffalo0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Buffalo0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Buffalo
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Buffalo
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Buffalo
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $898
Carolina0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Carolina0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Carolina
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Carolina
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carolina
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $287
Chicago0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Chicago0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Chicago
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Chicago
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Cincinnati0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Cincinnati0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cincinnati
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cincinnati
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $250
Cleveland0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Cleveland0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cleveland
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cleveland
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Show 23 more outcomesHide 23 outcomes
Dallas0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Dallas0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dallas
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dallas
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $450
Denver0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Denver0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Denver
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Denver
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Denver
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Green Bay0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Green Bay0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Green Bay
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Green Bay
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Green Bay
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $238K
Houston0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Houston0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Houston
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Houston
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Indianapolis0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Indianapolis0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Indianapolis
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Indianapolis
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indianapolis
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Jacksonville0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jacksonville0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jacksonville
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jacksonville
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jacksonville
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $250
Kansas City0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kansas City0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kansas City
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kansas City
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kansas City
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $860
Las Vegas0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Las Vegas0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Las Vegas
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Las Vegas
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Las Vegas
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $250
Los Angeles C0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Los Angeles C0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Los Angeles C
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Los Angeles C
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles C
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $737
Los Angeles R0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Los Angeles R0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Los Angeles R
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Los Angeles R
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles R
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $12K
Miami0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Miami0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Miami
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Miami
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Minnesota0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Minnesota0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Minnesota
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Minnesota
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $942
New England0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)New England0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New England
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New England
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New England
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $250
New Orleans0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)New Orleans0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New Orleans
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New Orleans
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $250
New York G0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)New York G0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New York G
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New York G
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York G
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $966
New York J0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)New York J0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New York J
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New York J
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York J
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $250
Philadelphia0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Philadelphia0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Philadelphia
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Philadelphia
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $535
San Francisco0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)San Francisco0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
San Francisco
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
San Francisco
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Francisco
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Seattle0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Seattle0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Seattle
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Seattle
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Seattle
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $13K
Tampa Bay0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Tampa Bay0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tampa Bay
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tampa Bay
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tampa Bay
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $250
Tennessee0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Tennessee0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tennessee
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tennessee
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tennessee
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Washington0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Washington0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Washington
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Washington
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Washington
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Detroit0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 21s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Detroit0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Detroit
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 21s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Detroit
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Detroit
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Pittsburgh
- Retires / No Team
- Arizona
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Aaron Rodgers's Next Team". Pittsburgh leads at 71.2%. Next is Retires / No Team at 5.3%. $3.2M has traded across 33 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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