The Prediction Markets

AFCON 2027 Winner

Closes
Jul 18, 2027, in 9 months
Traded
$18K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Morocco 27.2%

Next is Senegal at 14.7%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Morocco 27.2%Senegal 14.7%Ivory Coast 8.5%Egypt 5.7%South Africa 4.9%19 others 39%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Morocco
27.2%
Polymarket 33.5%(27.2% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Morocco
Last price
33.5%
Fair, margin removed
27.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Senegal
14.7%
Polymarket 18.1%(14.7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $505 (5.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Senegal
Last price
18.1%
Fair, margin removed
14.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19.8¢
Sell Yes
16.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$505 (5.05x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ivory Coast
8.5%
Polymarket 10.5%(8.5% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $800 (8.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ivory Coast
Last price
10.5%
Fair, margin removed
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12.5¢
Sell Yes
8.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$800 (8.00x)
Volume
$410
Trade this on Polymarket
Egypt
5.7%
Polymarket 7%(5.7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Egypt
Last price
7%
Fair, margin removed
5.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.8¢
Sell Yes
6.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,282 (12.8x)
Volume
$499
Trade this on Polymarket
South Africa
4.9%
Polymarket 6%(4.9% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
South Africa
Last price
6%
Fair, margin removed
4.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$301
Trade this on Polymarket
Ghana
4.6%
Polymarket 5.7%(4.6% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ghana
Last price
5.7%
Fair, margin removed
4.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.4¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,351 (13.5x)
Volume
$342
Trade this on Polymarket
DR Congo
4%
Polymarket 5%(4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
DR Congo
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,031 (10.3x)
Volume
$184
Trade this on Polymarket
Zambia
3.6%
Polymarket 4.5%(3.7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zambia
Last price
4.5%
Fair, margin removed
3.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$903
Trade this on Polymarket
Uganda
3%
Polymarket 3.7%(3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Uganda
Last price
3.7%
Fair, margin removed
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tunisia
2.8%
Polymarket 3.5%(2.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tunisia
Last price
3.5%
Fair, margin removed
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$179
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 14 more outcomes
Cameroon
2.7%
Polymarket 3.4%(2.7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cameroon
Last price
3.4%
Fair, margin removed
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Volume
$236
Trade this on Polymarket
Algeria
2.6%
Polymarket 3.2%(2.6% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Algeria
Last price
3.2%
Fair, margin removed
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$231
Trade this on Polymarket
Nigeria
2.5%
Polymarket 3.1%(2.5% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nigeria
Last price
3.1%
Fair, margin removed
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$265
Trade this on Polymarket
Mali
2.3%
Polymarket 2.8%(2.3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mali
Last price
2.8%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$147
Trade this on Polymarket
Angola
1.9%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Angola
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$234
Trade this on Polymarket
Burkina Faso
1.8%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Burkina Faso
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$139
Trade this on Polymarket
Benin
1.6%
Polymarket 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Benin
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.4¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,941 (29.4x)
Volume
$870
Trade this on Polymarket
Cape Verde
1.3%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cape Verde
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$192
Trade this on Polymarket
Gabon
1.2%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gabon
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$139
Trade this on Polymarket
Tanzania
1.2%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tanzania
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$376
Trade this on Polymarket
Guinea
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guinea
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Polymarket
Kenya
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kenya
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Polymarket
Mozambique
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mozambique
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Polymarket
Equatorial Guinea
0.4%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Equatorial Guinea
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Morocco
  • Senegal
  • Ivory Coast

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "AFCON 2027 Winner". Morocco leads at 27.2%. Next is Senegal at 14.7%. $18K has traded across 24 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 18, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations per the rules of CAF (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from CAF; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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