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What the markets expect
Yordan Álvarez 99%
Next is Aaron Judge at 3%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Yordan Álvarez99%99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 50s agoNo askYordan Álvarez99%Kalshi 99%polled, 50s ago
Yordan Álvarez
99%
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 50s ago
No ask
Yordan Álvarez
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 50s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yordan Álvarez
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $19K
Aaron Judge3%3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Aaron Judge3%Kalshi 3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Aaron Judge
3%
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Aaron Judge
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Judge
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $6K
Brent Rooker3%3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Brent Rooker3%Kalshi 3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Brent Rooker
3%
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Brent Rooker
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brent Rooker
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $17
Byron Buxton3%3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Byron Buxton3%Kalshi 3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Byron Buxton
3%
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Byron Buxton
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Byron Buxton
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $430
Mike Trout3%3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Mike Trout3%Kalshi 3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Mike Trout
3%
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Mike Trout
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mike Trout
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $318
Roman Anthony3%3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Roman Anthony3%Kalshi 3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Roman Anthony
3%
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Roman Anthony
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Roman Anthony
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $58
Wyatt Langford3%3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Wyatt Langford3%Kalshi 3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Wyatt Langford
3%
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Wyatt Langford
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Wyatt Langford
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $33
Zach Neto3%3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Zach Neto3%Kalshi 3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Zach Neto
3%
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Zach Neto
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zach Neto
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $1
Ben Rice2%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 50s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Ben Rice2%Kalshi 2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ben Rice
2%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ben Rice
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ben Rice
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Bobby Witt Jr.2%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 50s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Bobby Witt Jr.2%Kalshi 2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Bobby Witt Jr.
2%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Bobby Witt Jr.
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bobby Witt Jr.
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Show 31 more outcomesHide 31 outcomes
Gunnar Henderson2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 50s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Gunnar Henderson2%Kalshi 2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Gunnar Henderson
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Gunnar Henderson
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gunnar Henderson
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $848
Julio Rodríguez2%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 50s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Julio Rodríguez2%Kalshi 2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Julio Rodríguez
2%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Julio Rodríguez
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Julio Rodríguez
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $214
Junior Caminero2%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 50s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Junior Caminero2%Kalshi 2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Junior Caminero
2%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Junior Caminero
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Junior Caminero
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Pete Alonso2%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 50s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Pete Alonso2%Kalshi 2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Pete Alonso
2%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Pete Alonso
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pete Alonso
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3
Adley Rutschman1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Adley Rutschman1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Adley Rutschman
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Adley Rutschman
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Adley Rutschman
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Alejandro Kirk1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Alejandro Kirk1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Alejandro Kirk
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Alejandro Kirk
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alejandro Kirk
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Carlos Correa1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Carlos Correa1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Carlos Correa
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Carlos Correa
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carlos Correa
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Cody Bellinger1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Cody Bellinger1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Cody Bellinger
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Cody Bellinger
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cody Bellinger
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Colson Montgomery1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Colson Montgomery1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Colson Montgomery
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Colson Montgomery
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Colson Montgomery
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Daulton Varsho1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Daulton Varsho1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Daulton Varsho
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Daulton Varsho
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daulton Varsho
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
George Springer1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)George Springer1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
George Springer
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
George Springer
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- George Springer
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Jackson Holliday1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Jackson Holliday1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Jackson Holliday
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Jackson Holliday
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson Holliday
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Jacob Wilson1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Jacob Wilson1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Jacob Wilson
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Jacob Wilson
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jacob Wilson
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Jarren Duran1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Jarren Duran1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Jarren Duran
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Jarren Duran
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jarren Duran
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Jazz Chisholm Jr.1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Jazz Chisholm Jr.1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jazz Chisholm Jr.
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Jeremy Peña1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Jeremy Peña1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Jeremy Peña
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Jeremy Peña
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jeremy Peña
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Jo Adell1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Jo Adell1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Jo Adell
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Jo Adell
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jo Adell
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Jose Altuve1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Jose Altuve1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Jose Altuve
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Jose Altuve
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jose Altuve
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Josh Naylor1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Josh Naylor1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Josh Naylor
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Josh Naylor
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Naylor
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Maikel García1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Maikel García1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Maikel García
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Maikel García
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Maikel García
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Steven Kwan1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Steven Kwan1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Steven Kwan
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Steven Kwan
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Steven Kwan
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Tie/Co-Winners1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Tie/Co-Winners1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Tie/Co-Winners
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Tie/Co-Winners
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tie/Co-Winners
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Trevor Story1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 50s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Trevor Story1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Trevor Story
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Trevor Story
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trevor Story
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Cal Raleigh1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 50s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Cal Raleigh1%Kalshi 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cal Raleigh
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cal Raleigh
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cal Raleigh
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Corey Seager1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 50s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Corey Seager1%Kalshi 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Corey Seager
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Corey Seager
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Corey Seager
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
José Ramírez1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 50s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)José Ramírez1%Kalshi 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
José Ramírez
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
José Ramírez
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- José Ramírez
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2
Nick Kurtz1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 50s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Nick Kurtz1%Kalshi 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Nick Kurtz
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Nick Kurtz
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nick Kurtz
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Randy Arozarena1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 50s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Randy Arozarena1%Kalshi 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Randy Arozarena
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Randy Arozarena
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Randy Arozarena
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Riley Greene1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 50s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Riley Greene1%Kalshi 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Riley Greene
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Riley Greene
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Riley Greene
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 50s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1%Kalshi 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Yandy Diaz1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 50s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Yandy Diaz1%Kalshi 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Yandy Diaz
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Yandy Diaz
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yandy Diaz
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Yordan Álvarez
- Aaron Judge
- Brent Rooker
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "AL Hank Aaron Award Winner?". Yordan Álvarez leads at 99%. Next is Aaron Judge at 3%. $38K has traded across 41 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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