The Prediction Markets

Alex Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev: Method of Victory

Closes
Nov 7, 2026, in 15 days
Traded
$132K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Movsar Evloev by Decision 31.5%

Next is Alex Volkanovski by Decision at 29.6%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Movsar Evloev by Decision 31.5%Alex Volkanovski by Decision 29.6%Alex Volkanovski by KO/TKO/DQ 17.6%Movsar Evloev by KO/TKO/DQ 9.3%Movsar Evloev by Submission 6.5%2 others 5.5%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Movsar Evloev by Decision
31.5%
Kalshi 34%(31.5% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Movsar Evloev by Decision
Last price
34%
Fair, margin removed
31.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Alex Volkanovski by Decision
29.6%
Kalshi 32%(29.6% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alex Volkanovski by Decision
Last price
32%
Fair, margin removed
29.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Alex Volkanovski by KO/TKO/DQ
17.6%
Kalshi 19%(17.6% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alex Volkanovski by KO/TKO/DQ
Last price
19%
Fair, margin removed
17.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Movsar Evloev by KO/TKO/DQ
9.3%
Kalshi 10%(9.3% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Movsar Evloev by KO/TKO/DQ
Last price
10%
Fair, margin removed
9.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$78K
Trade this on Kalshi
Movsar Evloev by Submission
6.5%
Kalshi 7%(6.5% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Movsar Evloev by Submission
Last price
7%
Fair, margin removed
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Kalshi
Alex Volkanovski by Submission
3.7%
Kalshi 4%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alex Volkanovski by Submission
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Draw/No Contest
1.8%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Draw/No Contest
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Paramount+, Fox Sports

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Movsar Evloev by Decision
  • Alex Volkanovski by Decision
  • Alex Volkanovski by KO/TKO/DQ

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Alex Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev: Method of Victory". Movsar Evloev by Decision leads at 31.5%. Next is Alex Volkanovski by Decision at 29.6%. $132K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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