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What the markets expect
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev 100%
Next is Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev at 100%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
1 of 12 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 38 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey RublevPolymarket: “Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Total Sets: O/U 2.5”100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 38 h agoNo askAlmaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev100%Polymarket 100%polled, 38 h ago
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
Polymarket: “Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Total Sets: O/U 2.5”
100%
100%
99.9¢ bid, — ask
polled, 38 h ago
No ask
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 38 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Total Sets: O/U 2.5
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $157
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey RublevPolymarket: “Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 21.5”100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 38 h agoNo askAlmaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev100%Polymarket 100%polled, 38 h ago
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
Polymarket: “Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 21.5”
100%
100%
99.9¢ bid, — ask
polled, 38 h ago
No ask
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 38 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 21.5
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $5
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey RublevPolymarket: “Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 22.5”100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 38 h agoNo askAlmaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev100%Polymarket 100%polled, 38 h ago
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
Polymarket: “Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 22.5”
100%
100%
99.9¢ bid, — ask
polled, 38 h ago
No ask
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 38 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 22.5
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $103
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey RublevPolymarket: “Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 23.5”100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 38 h agoNo askAlmaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev100%Polymarket 100%polled, 38 h ago
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
Polymarket: “Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 23.5”
100%
100%
99.9¢ bid, — ask
polled, 38 h ago
No ask
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 38 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 23.5
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $336
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey RublevPolymarket: “Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 8.5”100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 38 h agoNo askAlmaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev100%Polymarket 100%polled, 38 h ago
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
Polymarket: “Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 8.5”
100%
100%
99.9¢ bid, — ask
polled, 38 h ago
No ask
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 38 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 8.5
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev100%100%99.9¢ bid, — asklive, 37 h agoNo askAlmaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev100%Polymarket 100%live, 37 h ago
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
100%
100%
99.9¢ bid, — ask
live, 37 h ago
No ask
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
100%
Polymarket 100%live, 37 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
- Price
- 100%
- As of
- Live feed, 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $344K
Completed Match52%52%5¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 38 h ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Completed Match52%Polymarket 52%polled, 38 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Completed Match
52%
52%
5¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 38 h ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Completed Match
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 38 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Completed Match
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $200
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey RublevPolymarket: “Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-4.5”50%50%No order bookpolled, 38 h agoNo askAlmaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev50%Polymarket 50%polled, 38 h ago
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
Polymarket: “Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-4.5”
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 38 h ago
No ask
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 38 h ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-4.5
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
- Volume
- $132
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey RublevPolymarket: “Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner”0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 38 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 38 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
Polymarket: “Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner”
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 38 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 38 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $526
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey RublevPolymarket: “Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 9.5”0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 38 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 38 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
Polymarket: “Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 9.5”
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 38 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 38 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 9.5
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey RublevPolymarket: “Set Handicap: Adrian Mannarino (-1.5) vs Andrey Rublev (+1.5)”0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 38 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 38 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
Polymarket: “Set Handicap: Adrian Mannarino (-1.5) vs Andrey Rublev (+1.5)”
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 38 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 38 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Set Handicap: Adrian Mannarino (-1.5) vs Andrey Rublev (+1.5)
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $135
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey RublevPolymarket: “Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 10.5”0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 38 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 38 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
Polymarket: “Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 10.5”
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 38 h ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 38 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 10.5
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
- Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
- Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev". Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev leads at 100%. Next is Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev at 100%. $352K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 28, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Andrey Rublev in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Andrey Rublev. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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