The Prediction Markets

America PAC 2026 total disbursements?

Closes
Feb 1, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

At least 60 million dollars 88.5%

Next is At least 75 million dollars at 85%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
At least 60 million dollars
88.5%
Kalshi 88.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 60 million dollars
Last price
88.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 75 million dollars
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 75 million dollars
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$230
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 90 million dollars
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 90 million dollars
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$192
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 105 million dollars
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 105 million dollars
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 120 million dollars
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 120 million dollars
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$443
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 160 million dollars
40.5%
Kalshi 40.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 160 million dollars
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Trade this on Kalshi
At least 140 million dollars
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
At least 140 million dollars
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$271
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FEC

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • At least 60 million dollars
  • At least 75 million dollars
  • At least 90 million dollars

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "America PAC 2026 total disbursements?". At least 60 million dollars leads at 88.5%. Next is At least 75 million dollars at 85%. $1K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 1, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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