The Prediction Markets

American Idol Season 24 Winner

Closed
May 11, 2026
Traded
$34K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on May 11, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 176 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Hannah Harper
31.1%
Polymarket 43.5%(31.1% fair)polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hannah Harper
Last price
43.5%
Fair, margin removed
31.1%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Keyla Richardson
17.6%
Polymarket 24.7%(17.6% fair)polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 25.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $386 (3.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Keyla Richardson
Last price
24.7%
Fair, margin removed
17.6%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
25.9¢
Sell Yes
23.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$386 (3.86x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jordan McCullough
14.5%
Polymarket 20.3%(14.5% fair)polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 25.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $392 (3.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan McCullough
Last price
20.3%
Fair, margin removed
14.5%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
25.5¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$392 (3.92x)
Volume
$894
Trade this on Polymarket
Chris Tungseth
5.8%
Polymarket 8.2%(5.9% fair)polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 12.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $775 (7.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chris Tungseth
Last price
8.2%
Fair, margin removed
5.9%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
12.9¢
Sell Yes
3.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$775 (7.75x)
Volume
$914
Trade this on Polymarket
Braden Rumfelt
3.6%
Polymarket 5%(3.6% fair)polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Braden Rumfelt
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
3.6%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$754
Trade this on Polymarket
Kyndal Inskeep
3.5%
Polymarket 4.9%(3.5% fair)polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 8.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kyndal Inskeep
Last price
4.9%
Fair, margin removed
3.5%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
8.7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,149 (11.5x)
Volume
$800
Trade this on Polymarket
Rae
3.3%
Polymarket 4.6%(3.3% fair)polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 8.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rae
Last price
4.6%
Fair, margin removed
3.3%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
8.4¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,190 (11.9x)
Volume
$591
Trade this on Polymarket
Jacquie Lee
2.5%
Polymarket 3.5%(2.5% fair)polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacquie Lee
Last price
3.5%
Fair, margin removed
2.5%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$764
Trade this on Polymarket
Tianna Roberts
2.5%
Polymarket 3.5%(2.5% fair)polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tianna Roberts
Last price
3.5%
Fair, margin removed
2.5%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$929
Trade this on Polymarket
Bryant Thomas
2.4%
Polymarket 3.4%(2.4% fair)polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bryant Thomas
Last price
3.4%
Fair, margin removed
2.4%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$754
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 20 more outcomes
Julian Kalel
2.3%
Polymarket 3.2%(2.3% fair)polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Julian Kalel
Last price
3.2%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$821
Trade this on Polymarket
Lucas Leon
2.3%
Polymarket 3.3%(2.3% fair)polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lucas Leon
Last price
3.3%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$751
Trade this on Polymarket
Abayomi
1%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Abayomi
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$575
Trade this on Polymarket
Bella Emry
0.9%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bella Emry
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$672
Trade this on Polymarket
Jesse Findling
0.9%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jesse Findling
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$750
Trade this on Polymarket
Chloe Lauren
0.8%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chloe Lauren
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$574
Trade this on Polymarket
Kiera Howell
0.8%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kiera Howell
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$601
Trade this on Polymarket
Brianna Yancey
0.7%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brianna Yancey
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$805
Trade this on Polymarket
Madison Moon
0.6%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Madison Moon
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$788
Trade this on Polymarket
Ruby Rae
0.5%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ruby Rae
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sheldon Riley
0.5%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sheldon Riley
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$593
Trade this on Polymarket
Brooks Rosser
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brooks Rosser
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Michael Garner
0.4%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Garner
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$649
Trade this on Polymarket
Makiyah
0.3%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Makiyah
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$792
Trade this on Polymarket
Daniel Stallworth
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Stallworth
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$564
Trade this on Polymarket
Kutter Bradley
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kutter Bradley
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$564
Trade this on Polymarket
Brenna Brigman
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brenna Brigman
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$634
Trade this on Polymarket
Genevieve Heyward
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Genevieve Heyward
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$577
Trade this on Polymarket
Jake Thistle
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jake Thistle
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$853
Trade this on Polymarket
Philmon Lee
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4229 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Philmon Lee
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 176 d ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$823
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Hannah Harper
  • Keyla Richardson
  • Jordan McCullough

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "American Idol Season 24 Winner". Hannah Harper last traded at 31.1%. Next is Keyla Richardson at 17.6%. $34K has traded across 30 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on May 11, 2026.

The season finale of American Idol is scheduled for May 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the individual who wins Season 24 of American Idol. If for any reason no winner is declared by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source for this market will be the live broadcast of the show, American Idol, and ABC.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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