The Prediction Markets

American League Cy Young Finalists

Closes
Dec 8, 2026, in 46 days
Traded
$14K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Dylan Cease 91%

Next is Cam Schlittler at 90%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Dylan Cease
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Dylan Cease
Last price
91%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
16¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Cam Schlittler
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Schlittler
Last price
90%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
17¢
Volume
$420
Trade this on Kalshi
Parker Messick
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Parker Messick
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Drew Rasmussen
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drew Rasmussen
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bryce Miller
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Miller
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Cole Ragans
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Cole Ragans
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Garrett Crochet
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Garrett Crochet
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
George Kirby
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
George Kirby
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Gerrit Cole
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Gerrit Cole
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Hunter Brown
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Hunter Brown
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 17 more outcomes
Jacob deGrom
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob deGrom
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Joe Ryan
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Ryan
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
José Soriano
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
José Soriano
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Kyle Bradish
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Kyle Bradish
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Luis Gil
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Luis Gil
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Luis Gil
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Logan Gilbert
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
MacKenzie Gore
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
MacKenzie Gore
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Max Fried
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Max Fried
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Nathan Eovaldi
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Nathan Eovaldi
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Pablo López
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Pablo López
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Ranger Suárez
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Ranger Suárez
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Shane McClanahan
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Shane McClanahan
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Trevor Rogers
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Rogers
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Trey Yesavage
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Trey Yesavage
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Sonny Gray
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sonny Gray
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Gavin Williams
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gavin Williams
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bryan Woo
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Bryan Woo
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$450
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Dylan Cease
  • Cam Schlittler
  • Parker Messick

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "American League Cy Young Finalists". Dylan Cease leads at 91%. Next is Cam Schlittler at 90%. $14K has traded across 27 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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