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Best ask
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What the markets expect
Yordan Alvarez 98%
Next is Junior Caminero at 87%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Yordan Alvarez98%98%85¢ bid, — askpolled, 54s agoNo askYordan Alvarez98%Kalshi 98%polled, 54s ago
Yordan Alvarez
98%
98%
85¢ bid, — ask
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Yordan Alvarez
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 54s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yordan Alvarez
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 85¢
- Volume
- $78
Junior Caminero87%87%61¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 54s ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Junior Caminero87%Kalshi 87%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Junior Caminero
87%
87%
61¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Junior Caminero
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Junior Caminero
- Last price
- 87%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $8K
Bobby Witt Jr.73%73%— bid, 89¢ askpolled, 54s ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Bobby Witt Jr.73%Kalshi 73%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Bobby Witt Jr.
73%
73%
— bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Bobby Witt Jr.
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bobby Witt Jr.
- Last price
- 73%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
- Volume
- $3K
Cam Schlittler55%55%11¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 54s ago55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Cam Schlittler55%Kalshi 55%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Cam Schlittler
55%
55%
11¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Cam Schlittler
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cam Schlittler
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
- Volume
- $5K
Aaron Judge50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askAaron Judge50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Aaron Judge
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Aaron Judge
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Adley Rutschman50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askAdley Rutschman50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Adley Rutschman
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Adley Rutschman
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Byron Buxton50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askByron Buxton50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Byron Buxton
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Byron Buxton
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Cal Raleigh50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askCal Raleigh50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Cal Raleigh
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Cal Raleigh
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Cody Bellinger50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askCody Bellinger50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Cody Bellinger
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Cody Bellinger
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Colson Montgomery50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askColson Montgomery50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Colson Montgomery
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Colson Montgomery
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Colson Montgomery
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Show 20 more outcomesHide 20 outcomes
Corey Seager50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askCorey Seager50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Corey Seager
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Corey Seager
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Gunnar Henderson50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askGunnar Henderson50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Gunnar Henderson
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Gunnar Henderson
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gunnar Henderson
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Jarren Duran50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askJarren Duran50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Jarren Duran
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Jarren Duran
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
José Ramírez50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askJosé Ramírez50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
José Ramírez
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
José Ramírez
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Julio Rodríguez50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askJulio Rodríguez50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Julio Rodríguez
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Julio Rodríguez
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Maikel Garcia50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askMaikel Garcia50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Maikel Garcia
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Maikel Garcia
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Miguel Vargas50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askMiguel Vargas50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Miguel Vargas
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Miguel Vargas
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Munetaka Murakami50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askMunetaka Murakami50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Munetaka Murakami
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Munetaka Murakami
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Munetaka Murakami
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Nick Kurtz50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askNick Kurtz50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Nick Kurtz
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Nick Kurtz
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Roman Anthony50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askRoman Anthony50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Roman Anthony
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Roman Anthony
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Shea Langeliers50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askShea Langeliers50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Shea Langeliers
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Shea Langeliers
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askVladimir Guerrero Jr.50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Wyatt Langford50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askWyatt Langford50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Wyatt Langford
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Wyatt Langford
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Yandy Díaz50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askYandy Díaz50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Yandy Díaz
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Yandy Díaz
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Zach Neto50%50%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askZach Neto50%Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Zach Neto
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Zach Neto
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 54s ago
Ceddanne Rafaela5%5%— bid, 25¢ askpolled, 54s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Ceddanne Rafaela5%Kalshi 5%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Ceddanne Rafaela
5%
5%
— bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Ceddanne Rafaela
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ceddanne Rafaela
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $692
Dillon Dingler5%5%No order bookpolled, 54s agoNo askDillon Dingler5%Kalshi 5%polled, 54s ago
Dillon Dingler
5%
5%
No order book
polled, 54s ago
No ask
Dillon Dingler
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 54s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dillon Dingler
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
- Volume
- $4K
Pete Alonso2%2%— bid, 45¢ askpolled, 54s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Pete Alonso2%Kalshi 2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Pete Alonso
2%
2%
— bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Pete Alonso
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pete Alonso
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $2K
Mike Trout1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 54s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Mike Trout1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Mike Trout
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Mike Trout
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mike Trout
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Ben Rice1%1%— bid, 81¢ askpolled, 54s ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Ben Rice1%Kalshi 1%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Ben Rice
1%
1%
— bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 54s ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Ben Rice
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ben Rice
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
- Volume
- $3K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Yordan Alvarez
- Junior Caminero
- Bobby Witt Jr.
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "American League MVP Finalists". Yordan Alvarez leads at 98%. Next is Junior Caminero at 87%. $26K has traded across 30 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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