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What the markets expect
Nacional 41.5%
Next is Olimpia at 41.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Nacional41.5%41.5%3¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 1 min ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Nacional41.5%Kalshi 41.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Nacional
41.5%
41.5%
3¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Nacional
41.5%
Kalshi 41.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nacional
- Last price
- 41.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
Olimpia41.5%41.5%3¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 1 min ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Olimpia41.5%Kalshi 41.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Olimpia
41.5%
41.5%
3¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Olimpia
41.5%
Kalshi 41.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Olimpia
- Last price
- 41.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
Libertad27%27%3¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 1 min ago51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Libertad27%Kalshi 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Libertad
27%
27%
3¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Libertad
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Libertad
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
Cerro Porteno21%21%3¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 1 min ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Cerro Porteno21%Kalshi 21%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Cerro Porteno
21%
21%
3¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Cerro Porteno
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cerro Porteno
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
Club Guarani9.5%9.5%3¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 1 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Club Guarani9.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Club Guarani
9.5%
9.5%
3¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Club Guarani
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Club Guarani
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Trinidense9%9%3¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 1 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Trinidense9%Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Trinidense
9%
9%
3¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Trinidense
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trinidense
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
CS 2 de Mayo6%6%3¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)CS 2 de Mayo6%Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
CS 2 de Mayo
6%
6%
3¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
CS 2 de Mayo
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- CS 2 de Mayo
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Sportivo Ameliano5%5%3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Sportivo Ameliano5%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Sportivo Ameliano
5%
5%
3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Sportivo Ameliano
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sportivo Ameliano
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
CD Recoleta2%2%1¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)CD Recoleta2%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
CD Recoleta
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
CD Recoleta
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- CD Recoleta
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $500
Luqueno2%2%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Luqueno2%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Luqueno
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Luqueno
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Luqueno
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $500
Rubio Nu2%2%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Rubio Nu2%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Rubio Nu
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Rubio Nu
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rubio Nu
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $500
San Lorenzo2%2%1¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)San Lorenzo2%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
San Lorenzo
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
San Lorenzo
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Lorenzo
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $500
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Nacional
- Olimpia
- Libertad
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "APF Division de Honor Clausura Champion". Nacional leads at 41.5%. Next is Olimpia at 41.5%. $2K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 13, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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