Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
This market has closed
Trading ended on Jul 27, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Lionel Messi94%94%91¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Lionel Messi94%Kalshi 94%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Lionel Messi
94%
94%
91¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Lionel Messi
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lionel Messi
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $11K
Nico Gonzalez39.5%39.5%— bid, 79¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Nico Gonzalez39.5%Kalshi 39.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Nico Gonzalez
39.5%
39.5%
— bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Nico Gonzalez
39.5%
Kalshi 39.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nico Gonzalez
- Last price
- 39.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
Nico Paz9%9%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Nico Paz9%Kalshi 9%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Nico Paz
9%
9%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Nico Paz
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nico Paz
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $37
Julian Alvarez8%8%6¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Julian Alvarez8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Julian Alvarez
8%
8%
6¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Julian Alvarez
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Julian Alvarez
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $8K
Enzo Fernandez4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Enzo Fernandez4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Enzo Fernandez
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Enzo Fernandez
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Enzo Fernandez
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Facundo Medina4%4%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Facundo Medina4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Facundo Medina
4%
4%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Facundo Medina
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Facundo Medina
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $105
Flaco Lopez3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Flaco Lopez3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Flaco Lopez
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Flaco Lopez
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Flaco Lopez
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Giuliano Simeone3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Giuliano Simeone3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Giuliano Simeone
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Giuliano Simeone
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Giuliano Simeone
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Giovani Lo Celso3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Giovani Lo Celso3%Kalshi 3%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Giovani Lo Celso
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Giovani Lo Celso
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Giovani Lo Celso
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Lautaro MartinezKalshi: “Lisandro Martinez”3%3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Lautaro Martinez3%Kalshi 3%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Lautaro Martinez
Kalshi: “Lisandro Martinez”
3%
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Lautaro Martinez
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lisandro Martinez
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $1
Show 14 more outcomesHide 14 outcomes
No Goalscorer3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)No Goalscorer3%Kalshi 3%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
No Goalscorer
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
No Goalscorer
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- No Goalscorer
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Rodrigo De Paul3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Rodrigo De Paul3%Kalshi 3%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Rodrigo De Paul
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Rodrigo De Paul
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rodrigo De Paul
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Exequiel Palacios2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Exequiel Palacios2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Exequiel Palacios
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Exequiel Palacios
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Exequiel Palacios
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Leandro Paredes2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Leandro Paredes2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Leandro Paredes
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Leandro Paredes
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Leandro Paredes
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Cristian Romero2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Cristian Romero2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Cristian Romero
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Cristian Romero
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cristian Romero
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Lautaro Martinez2%2%— bid, 23¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Lautaro Martinez2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Lautaro Martinez
2%
2%
— bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lautaro Martinez
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $1K
Nahuel Molina2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Nahuel Molina2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Nahuel Molina
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Nahuel Molina
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nahuel Molina
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Valentin Barco2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Valentin Barco2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Valentin Barco
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Valentin Barco
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Valentin Barco
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Gonzalo Montiel1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Gonzalo Montiel1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Gonzalo Montiel
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Gonzalo Montiel
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gonzalo Montiel
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Leonardo Balerdi1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Leonardo Balerdi1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Leonardo Balerdi
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Leonardo Balerdi
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Leonardo Balerdi
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Nicolas Otamendi1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Nicolas Otamendi1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Nicolas Otamendi
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Nicolas Otamendi
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nicolas Otamendi
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Nicolas Tagliafico1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Nicolas Tagliafico1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Nicolas Tagliafico
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Nicolas Tagliafico
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nicolas Tagliafico
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Alexis Mac Allister1%1%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Alexis Mac Allister1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Alexis Mac Allister
1%
1%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Alexis Mac Allister
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alexis Mac Allister
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $26
Thiago Almada1%1%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Thiago Almada1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Thiago Almada
1%
1%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Thiago Almada
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Thiago Almada
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $286
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIFA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Lionel Messi
- Nico Gonzalez
- Nico Paz
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Argentina: Goal Leader". Lionel Messi last traded at 94%. Next is Nico Gonzalez at 39.5%. $21K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More sports markets
See all sports markets- F1 Drivers' ChampionKimi Antonelli97.7%$204.6M traded
- 2027 Pro Football ChampionSan Francisco17%$196.4M traded
- Pro Baseball ChampionMilwaukee69.9%$134.8M traded
- College Football National Championship WinnerGeorgia17%$64.1M traded
- 2027 Pro Basketball ChampionOklahoma City24%$45.7M traded
- MVP Winner?Josh Allen29%$36.9M traded