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What the markets expect
Boston 48.5%
Next is Chicago C at 4.4%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 6 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Boston48.5%66%48.5% fair66¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 6 h ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Boston48.5%Kalshi 66%(48.5% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Boston
48.5%
66%
48.5% fair
66¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Boston
48.5%
Kalshi 66%(48.5% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Boston
- Last price
- 66%
- Fair, margin removed
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $34K
Chicago C4.4%6%4.4% fair2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 6 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Chicago C4.4%Kalshi 6%(4.4% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Chicago C
4.4%
6%
4.4% fair
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Chicago C
4.4%
Kalshi 6%(4.4% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago C
- Last price
- 6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.4%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $1K
Milwaukee4.4%6%4.4% fair— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 6 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Milwaukee4.4%Kalshi 6%(4.4% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Milwaukee
4.4%
6%
4.4% fair
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Milwaukee
4.4%
Kalshi 6%(4.4% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Milwaukee
- Last price
- 6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.4%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $804
Detroit3.7%5%3.7% fair— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 6 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Detroit3.7%Kalshi 5%(3.7% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Detroit
3.7%
5%
3.7% fair
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Detroit
3.7%
Kalshi 5%(3.7% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Detroit
- Last price
- 5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.7%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $267
New York Y3.7%5%3.7% fair— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 6 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)New York Y3.7%Kalshi 5%(3.7% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
New York Y
3.7%
5%
3.7% fair
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
New York Y
3.7%
Kalshi 5%(3.7% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York Y
- Last price
- 5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.7%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $1K
Arizona3%4%2.9% fair— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 6 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Arizona3%Kalshi 4%(2.9% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Arizona
3%
4%
2.9% fair
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Arizona
3%
Kalshi 4%(2.9% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arizona
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $904
Los Angeles D3%4%2.9% fair1¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 6 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Los Angeles D3%Kalshi 4%(2.9% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Los Angeles D
3%
4%
2.9% fair
1¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Los Angeles D
3%
Kalshi 4%(2.9% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles D
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $438
San Francisco3%4%2.9% fair— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 6 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)San Francisco3%Kalshi 4%(2.9% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
San Francisco
3%
4%
2.9% fair
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
San Francisco
3%
Kalshi 4%(2.9% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Francisco
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $538
Toronto3%4%2.9% fair— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 6 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Toronto3%Kalshi 4%(2.9% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Toronto
3%
4%
2.9% fair
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Toronto
3%
Kalshi 4%(2.9% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toronto
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $729
Cincinnati2.2%3%2.2% fair— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 6 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Cincinnati2.2%Kalshi 3%(2.2% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Cincinnati
2.2%
3%
2.2% fair
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Cincinnati
2.2%
Kalshi 3%(2.2% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.2%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Show 21 more outcomesHide 21 outcomes
Retires / No Team2.2%3%2.2% fair2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 6 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Retires / No Team2.2%Kalshi 3%(2.2% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Retires / No Team
2.2%
3%
2.2% fair
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Retires / No Team
2.2%
Kalshi 3%(2.2% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Retires / No Team
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.2%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Seattle2.2%3%2.2% fair— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 6 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Seattle2.2%Kalshi 3%(2.2% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Seattle
2.2%
3%
2.2% fair
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Seattle
2.2%
Kalshi 3%(2.2% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Seattle
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.2%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $624
Washington2.2%3%2.2% fair— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 6 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Washington2.2%Kalshi 3%(2.2% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Washington
2.2%
3%
2.2% fair
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Washington
2.2%
Kalshi 3%(2.2% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Washington
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.2%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Cleveland1.5%2%1.5% fair— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 6 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Cleveland1.5%Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cleveland
1.5%
2%
1.5% fair
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cleveland
1.5%
Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $16
Texas1.5%2%1.5% fair— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 6 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Texas1.5%Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Texas
1.5%
2%
1.5% fair
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Texas
1.5%
Kalshi 2%(1.5% fair)polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Texas
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $892
A's0.8%1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 6 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)A's0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
A's
0.8%
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
A's
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- A's
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $249
Atlanta0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 6 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Atlanta0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Atlanta
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Atlanta
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Atlanta
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Baltimore0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 6 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Baltimore0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Baltimore
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Baltimore
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $488
Chicago WS0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 6 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Chicago WS0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chicago WS
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chicago WS
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago WS
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Colorado0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 6 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Colorado0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Colorado
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Colorado
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Colorado
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $30
Houston0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 6 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Houston0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Houston
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Houston
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $292
Kansas City0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 6 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kansas City0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kansas City
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kansas City
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kansas City
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $279
Los Angeles A0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 6 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Los Angeles A0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Los Angeles A
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Los Angeles A
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles A
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $289
Miami0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 6 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Miami0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Miami
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Miami
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $457
Minnesota0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 6 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Minnesota0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Minnesota
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Minnesota
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $18
New York M0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 6 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)New York M0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New York M
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New York M
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York M
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $99
Philadelphia0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 6 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Philadelphia0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Philadelphia
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Philadelphia
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Pittsburgh0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 6 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Pittsburgh0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Pittsburgh
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Pittsburgh
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pittsburgh
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
San Diego0.7%1%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 6 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)San Diego0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
San Diego
0.7%
1%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
San Diego
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Diego
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
St. Louis0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 6 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)St. Louis0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
St. Louis
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
St. Louis
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- St. Louis
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $481
Tampa Bay0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 6 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Tampa Bay0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tampa Bay
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tampa Bay
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tampa Bay
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Boston
- Chicago C
- Milwaukee
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Aroldis Chapman's Next Team". Boston leads at 48.5%. Next is Chicago C at 4.4%. $64K has traded across 31 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 25, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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