The Prediction Markets

Arutiunian vs Marcondes

FinalKickoff
Traded
$13K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Nov 5, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Arutiunian
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 54s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Fort Worth: Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Last price
100%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Fort Worth: Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 21.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 54s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Erik Arutiunian (-1.5) vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes (+1.5)
Last price
100%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Fort Worth: Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 21.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 54s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Fort Worth: Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 O/U 9.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Fort Worth: Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 21.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 54s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Fort Worth: Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 Winner
Last price
100%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Fort Worth: Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 21.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 54s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Fort Worth: Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 O/U 8.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Fort Worth: Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 21.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 54s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Fort Worth: Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 23.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Fort Worth: Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 21.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 54s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Fort Worth: Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 O/U 10.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Completed Match
99.5%
Polymarket 99.5%polled, 54s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$110
Trade this on Polymarket
Fort Worth: Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 21.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 54s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Fort Worth: Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP
Show full rule comparison
  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • Trading closes Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 5, 2026, 5:10 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Arutiunian
  • Fort Worth: Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 21.5
  • Fort Worth: Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 21.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Arutiunian vs Marcondes". Arutiunian last traded at 100%. Next is Fort Worth: Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 21.5 at 100%. $13K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market closed on Nov 5, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets