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What the markets expect
Over 199.5 points 94%
Next is Over 201.5 points at 93%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 199.5 points94%94%94¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 39s ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Over 199.5 points94%Kalshi 94%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Over 199.5 points
94%
94%
94¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Over 199.5 points
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 199.5 points
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $304
Over 201.5 points93%93%92¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 39s ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 201.5 points93%Kalshi 93%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 201.5 points
93%
93%
92¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 201.5 points
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 201.5 points
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Over 203.5 points91.5%91.5%91¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 39s ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Over 203.5 points91.5%Kalshi 91.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 203.5 points
91.5%
91.5%
91¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 203.5 points
91.5%
Kalshi 91.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 203.5 points
- Last price
- 91.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
Over 205.5 points89%89%88¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 39s ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Over 205.5 points89%Kalshi 89%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Over 205.5 points
89%
89%
88¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Over 205.5 points
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 205.5 points
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Over 207.5 points86%86%86¢ bid, 88¢ askpolled, 39s ago88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Over 207.5 points86%Kalshi 86%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Over 207.5 points
86%
86%
86¢ bid, 88¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Over 207.5 points
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 207.5 points
- Last price
- 86%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
- Volume
- $208
Over 209.5 points84%84%83¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 39s ago85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Over 209.5 points84%Kalshi 84%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Over 209.5 points
84%
84%
83¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Over 209.5 points
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 209.5 points
- Last price
- 84%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
Over 211.5 points80.5%80.5%80¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 39s ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Over 211.5 points80.5%Kalshi 80.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Over 211.5 points
80.5%
80.5%
80¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Over 211.5 points
80.5%
Kalshi 80.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 211.5 points
- Last price
- 80.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
Over 213.5 points78%78%77¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 39s ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Over 213.5 points78%Kalshi 78%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Over 213.5 points
78%
78%
77¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Over 213.5 points
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 213.5 points
- Last price
- 78%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
Over 215.5 points73.5%73.5%73¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 39s ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Over 215.5 points73.5%Kalshi 73.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Over 215.5 points
73.5%
73.5%
73¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Over 215.5 points
73.5%
Kalshi 73.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 215.5 points
- Last price
- 73.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Over 217.5 points70%70%70¢ bid, 71¢ askpolled, 39s ago71¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $141 (1.41x)Over 217.5 points70%Kalshi 70%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Over 217.5 points
70%
70%
70¢ bid, 71¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
71¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Over 217.5 points
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 217.5 points
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 71¢
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $141 (1.41x)
- Volume
- $115
Show 19 more outcomesHide 19 outcomes
Over 219.5 points66%66%65¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 39s ago67¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $149 (1.49x)Over 219.5 points66%Kalshi 66%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Over 219.5 points
66%
66%
65¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
67¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Over 219.5 points
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 219.5 points
- Last price
- 66%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
Over 221.5 points61%61%61¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 39s ago62¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Over 221.5 points61%Kalshi 61%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Over 221.5 points
61%
61%
61¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
62¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Over 221.5 points
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 221.5 points
- Last price
- 61%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
- Volume
- $123
Over 223.5 points56%56%56¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 39s ago57¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Over 223.5 points56%Kalshi 56%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Over 223.5 points
56%
56%
56¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
57¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Over 223.5 points
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 223.5 points
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $7K
Over 225.5 points54%54%53¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 39s ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Over 225.5 points54%Kalshi 54%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Over 225.5 points
54%
54%
53¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Over 225.5 points
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 225.5 points
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $13K
Over 227.5 points48%48%48¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 39s ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Over 227.5 points48%Kalshi 48%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Over 227.5 points
48%
48%
48¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Over 227.5 points
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 227.5 points
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $2K
Over 229.5 points43%43%43¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 39s ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Over 229.5 points43%Kalshi 43%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Over 229.5 points
43%
43%
43¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Over 229.5 points
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 229.5 points
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $80
Over 231.5 points40%40%39¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 39s ago41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Over 231.5 points40%Kalshi 40%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Over 231.5 points
40%
40%
39¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Over 231.5 points
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 231.5 points
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
Over 233.5 points35%35%35¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 39s ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Over 233.5 points35%Kalshi 35%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Over 233.5 points
35%
35%
35¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Over 233.5 points
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 233.5 points
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $40
Over 235.5 points31%31%31¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 39s ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Over 235.5 points31%Kalshi 31%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Over 235.5 points
31%
31%
31¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Over 235.5 points
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 235.5 points
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $700
Over 237.5 points27%27%26¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 39s ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Over 237.5 points27%Kalshi 27%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Over 237.5 points
27%
27%
26¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Over 237.5 points
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 237.5 points
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
Over 239.5 points23%23%23¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 39s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Over 239.5 points23%Kalshi 23%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Over 239.5 points
23%
23%
23¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Over 239.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 239.5 points
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $100
Over 241.5 points22%22%20¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 39s ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Over 241.5 points22%Kalshi 22%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Over 241.5 points
22%
22%
20¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Over 241.5 points
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 241.5 points
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $476
Over 243.5 points17.5%17.5%16¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 39s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Over 243.5 points17.5%Kalshi 17.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Over 243.5 points
17.5%
17.5%
16¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Over 243.5 points
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 243.5 points
- Last price
- 17.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Over 245.5 points15.5%15.5%14¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 39s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Over 245.5 points15.5%Kalshi 15.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Over 245.5 points
15.5%
15.5%
14¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Over 245.5 points
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 245.5 points
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Over 247.5 points12%12%12¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 39s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Over 247.5 points12%Kalshi 12%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Over 247.5 points
12%
12%
12¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Over 247.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 247.5 points
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $36
Over 249.5 points10%10%10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 39s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Over 249.5 points10%Kalshi 10%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 249.5 points
10%
10%
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 249.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 249.5 points
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $372
Over 251.5 points9%9%7¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 39s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Over 251.5 points9%Kalshi 9%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 251.5 points
9%
9%
7¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 251.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 251.5 points
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Over 253.5 points7%7%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 39s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Over 253.5 points7%Kalshi 7%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 253.5 points
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 253.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 253.5 points
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $32
Over 255.5 points6%6%5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 39s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Over 255.5 points6%Kalshi 6%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Over 255.5 points
6%
6%
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 39s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Over 255.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 255.5 points
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $904
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 199.5 points
- Over 201.5 points
- Over 203.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Atlanta vs Charlotte: Total Points". Over 199.5 points leads at 94%. Next is Over 201.5 points at 93%. $25K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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