The Prediction Markets

ATX Open: Venus Williams vs Ajla Tomljanovic

Closed
Mar 2, 2026
Traded
$190K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Mar 2, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 210 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
ATX Open: Venus Williams vs Ajla Tomljanovic
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 5055 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
ATX Open: Venus Williams vs Ajla Tomljanovic Set 1 O/U 9.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 210 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Trade this on Polymarket
ATX Open: Venus Williams vs Ajla Tomljanovic
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5055 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
ATX Open: Venus Williams vs Ajla Tomljanovic Set 1 O/U 10.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 210 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: wtatennis.com

How the odds have moved

The top 2 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • ATX Open: Venus Williams vs Ajla Tomljanovic
  • ATX Open: Venus Williams vs Ajla Tomljanovic

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "ATX Open: Venus Williams vs Ajla Tomljanovic". ATX Open: Venus Williams vs Ajla Tomljanovic last traded at 100%. Next is ATX Open: Venus Williams vs Ajla Tomljanovic at 0%. $190K has traded across 2 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Mar 2, 2026.

This market refers on the tennis match between Venus Williams and Ajla Tomljanovic in the ATX Open, scheduled for February 23 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Williams' if Venus Williams advances against Ajla Tomljanovic. This market will resolve to 'Tomljanovic' if Ajla Tomljanovic advances against Venus Williams. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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