This market has closed
Trading ended on Apr 11, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 196 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Austin FC46.3%46.5%46¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 4719 h ago47¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Austin FC46.3%Polymarket 46.5%polled, 4719 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
- Contract
- Austin FC
- Last price
- 46.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $45K
Los Angeles Galaxy28.3%28.5%28¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 4719 h ago29¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Los Angeles Galaxy28.3%Polymarket 28.5%polled, 4719 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
- Contract
- Los Angeles Galaxy
- Last price
- 28.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $5K
Draw (Austin FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy)25.4%25.5%25¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 4719 h ago26¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Draw (Austin FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy)25.4%Polymarket 25.5%polled, 4719 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
- Contract
- Draw (Austin FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy)
- Last price
- 25.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $168
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:

- UMA optimistic oracle, source: mlssoccer.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Austin FC
- Los Angeles Galaxy
- Draw (Austin FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy)
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Austin FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy". Austin FC last traded at 46.3%. Next is Los Angeles Galaxy at 28.3%. $49K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 11, 2026.
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Austin FC and Los Angeles Galaxy.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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