The Prediction Markets

Austrian Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27)

Closes
Jul 1, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$12K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

TSV Hartberg 49.6%

Next is Wolfsberger AC at 49.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
TSV Hartberg
49.6%
Polymarket 49.6%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
TSV Hartberg
Last price
49.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$285
Trade this on Polymarket
Wolfsberger AC
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wolfsberger AC
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Austria Wien
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Austria Wien
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Red Bull Salzburg
48.9%
Polymarket 48.9%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 97.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Red Bull Salzburg
Last price
48.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
WSG Tirol
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
WSG Tirol
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$345
Trade this on Polymarket
Rheindorf Altach
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rheindorf Altach
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
SC Austria Lustenau
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
SC Austria Lustenau
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Grazer AK
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 18.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $532 (5.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
Grazer AK
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$532 (5.32x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Rapid Wien
6.6%
Polymarket 6.6%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 12.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $781 (7.81x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rapid Wien
Last price
6.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$781 (7.81x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
SV Ried
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
SV Ried
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sturm Graz
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sturm Graz
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
LASK
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
LASK
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$288
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • TSV Hartberg
  • Wolfsberger AC
  • Austria Wien

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Austrian Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27)". TSV Hartberg leads at 49.6%. Next is Wolfsberger AC at 49.5%. $12K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Austrian Bundesliga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Austrian Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Austrian Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Austrian Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Austrian Bundesliga. If the 2026-27 Austrian Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Austrian Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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