The Prediction Markets

Avengers: Doomsday Cast?

Closes
Jan 1, 2028, in 15 months
Traded
$998K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Will Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday? 93%

Next is Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday? at 93%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Will Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday?
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday?
Last price
93%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$50K
Trade this on Kalshi
Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday?
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday?
Last price
93%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$46K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?
Last price
91%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$95K
Trade this on Kalshi
Will Benedict Cumberbatch perform as Doctor Strange in Avengers: Doomsday?
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Benedict Cumberbatch perform as Doctor Strange in Avengers: Doomsday?
Last price
90%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$49K
Trade this on Kalshi
Will Teyonah Parris perform as Monica Rambeau in Avengers: Doomsday?
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Teyonah Parris perform as Monica Rambeau in Avengers: Doomsday?
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Kalshi
Will Hailee Steinfeld perform as Kate Bishop in Avengers: Doomsday?
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Hailee Steinfeld perform as Kate Bishop in Avengers: Doomsday?
Last price
79%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$33K
Trade this on Kalshi
Loki
76%
Polymarket 76%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Polymarket
Contract
Loki
Last price
76%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Will Benedict Wong perform as Wong in Avengers: Doomsday?
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Benedict Wong perform as Wong in Avengers: Doomsday?
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$23K
Trade this on Kalshi
Will Iman Vellani perform as Ms. Marvel in Avengers: Doomsday?
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Iman Vellani perform as Ms. Marvel in Avengers: Doomsday?
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$52K
Trade this on Kalshi
Will Mark Ruffalo perform as Hulk in Avengers: Doomsday?
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Mark Ruffalo perform as Hulk in Avengers: Doomsday?
Last price
72%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$99K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 18 more outcomes
Spider-Man
66%
Polymarket 66%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spider-Man
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Thor
64%
Polymarket 64%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
Thor
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Will Gwyneth Paltrow perform as Pepper Potts in Avengers: Doomsday?
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Gwyneth Paltrow perform as Pepper Potts in Avengers: Doomsday?
Last price
60%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$29K
Trade this on Kalshi
Captain America (Sam Wilson)
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Captain America (Sam Wilson)
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Will Brie Larson perform as Captain Marvel in Avengers: Doomsday?
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Brie Larson perform as Captain Marvel in Avengers: Doomsday?
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$47K
Trade this on Kalshi
Will Xochitl Gomez perform as America Chavez in Avengers: Doomsday?
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Xochitl Gomez perform as America Chavez in Avengers: Doomsday?
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$23K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ant-Man
51.5%
Polymarket 51.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ant-Man
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Will Jon Favreau perform as Happy Hogan in Avengers: Doomsday?
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Jon Favreau perform as Happy Hogan in Avengers: Doomsday?
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Kalshi
Will Tom Holland perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday?
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Tom Holland perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday?
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$214K
Trade this on Kalshi
Doctor Strange
44.8%
Polymarket 44.8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 47.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $211 (2.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Doctor Strange
Last price
44.8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
47.4¢
Sell Yes
42.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$211 (2.11x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Steve Rogers
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Steve Rogers
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Will Andrew Garfield perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday?
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Andrew Garfield perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday?
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Kalshi
Shang-Chi
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shang-Chi
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$966
Trade this on Polymarket
Will Don Cheadle perform as James Rhodes / War Machine in Avengers: Doomsday?
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Don Cheadle perform as James Rhodes / War Machine in Avengers: Doomsday?
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
Will Halle Berry perform as Storm in Avengers: Doomsday?
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Halle Berry perform as Storm in Avengers: Doomsday?
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$48K
Trade this on Kalshi
Will Jonathan Majors perform as Kang in Avengers: Doomsday?
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Jonathan Majors perform as Kang in Avengers: Doomsday?
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$43K
Trade this on Kalshi
Will Evangeline Lilly perform as the Wasp in Avengers: Doomsday?
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Evangeline Lilly perform as the Wasp in Avengers: Doomsday?
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Doctor Doom
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Doctor Doom
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Marvel

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Will Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday?
  • Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday?
  • Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Will Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday? for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Avengers: Doomsday Cast?". Will Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday? leads at 93%. Next is Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday? at 93%. $998K has traded across 28 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2028.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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