The Prediction Markets

"Avengers: Doomsday" Rotten Tomatoes score?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$755K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
4 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Above 45 98%

Next is Above 50 at 97%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 45
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 45
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$63K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 50
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 50
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 55
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 55
Last price
93%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 60
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 60
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 65
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 65
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
50+
81%
Polymarket 99.6%polled, 4 h agoPolymarket 30.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
50+
Last price
99.6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
99.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
50+
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 70
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 70
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$31K
Trade this on Kalshi
40+
77%
Polymarket 77%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
40+
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$890
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 75
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 75
Last price
74%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Kalshi
70+
70.2%
Polymarket 87.6%polled, 4 h agoPolymarket 89.5%polled, 4 h agoPolymarket 16%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
70+
Last price
87.6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
88.5¢
Sell Yes
86.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$113 (1.13x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
70+
Last price
89.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
70+
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 9 more outcomes
Above 80
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$69K
Trade this on Kalshi
60+
53.8%
Polymarket 99%polled, 4 h agoPolymarket 27.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
60+
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
98.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$851
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
60+
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 85
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 85
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$144K
Trade this on Kalshi
85+
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
85+
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
80+
37.3%
Polymarket 76.5%polled, 4 h agoPolymarket 9%polled, 4 h agoPolymarket 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
80+
Last price
76.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
80+
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
80+
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$194
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 90
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$234K
Trade this on Kalshi
90+
13.5%
Polymarket 30%polled, 4 h agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 4 h agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$439
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 95
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 95
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$112K
Trade this on Kalshi
95+
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
95+
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Rotten Tomatoes

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 45
  • Above 50
  • Above 55

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 45 for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for ""Avengers: Doomsday" Rotten Tomatoes score?". Above 45 leads at 98%. Next is Above 50 at 97%. $755K has traded across 19 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 21, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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