The Prediction Markets

"Avengers: Doomsday" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

Closes
Dec 21, 2026, in 2 months
Traded
$2.0M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Above 52 99%

Next is Above 57 at 99%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 7 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 52
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 52
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 57
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 57
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 62
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 62
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 45
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 99%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 45
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$41K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 45
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$63K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 50
98.5%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 97%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 50
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$30K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 50
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 55
97.5%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 93%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 55
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$50K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 55
Last price
93%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 67
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 67
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$51K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 60
96.7%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 90%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 60
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$71K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 60
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 65
95%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 86%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 65
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$98K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 65
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dune: Part Three
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dune: Part Three
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 7 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$740
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 13 more outcomes
Above 70
87.5%
Kalshi 90%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 80%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 70
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$162K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 70
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$31K
Trade this on Kalshi
70+
87.2%
Polymarket 87.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 87.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
70+
Last price
87.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
87.7¢
Sell Yes
86.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
80+
74%
Polymarket 74%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
80+
Last price
74%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 75
53.8%
Kalshi 47%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 74%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 75
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$144K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 75
Last price
74%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Kalshi
85+
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
85+
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
90+
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 77
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 77
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 85
24.6%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 51%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 85
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$160K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 85
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$144K
Trade this on Kalshi
Avengers: Doomsday
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 7 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Avengers: Doomsday
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 7 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 80
20.5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 67%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$243K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$69K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 90
20.1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 30%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$122K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$234K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 95
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 95
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$113K
Trade this on Kalshi
95+
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
95+
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Rotten Tomatoes, Rotten Tomatoes, Rotten Tomatoes

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 52
  • Above 57
  • Above 62

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 52 for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for ""Avengers: Doomsday" Rotten Tomatoes Score?". Above 52 leads at 99%. Next is Above 57 at 99%. $2.0M has traded across 23 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 21, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Avengers: Doomsday is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on the Monday following the movie's wide theatrical release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified check time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by the Friday of that same week, 11:59 PM ET, or the movie does not release by December 31, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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