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What the markets expect
O/U 0.5 Rounds 74.5%
Next is Fight won by KO/TKO? at 70.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
O/U 0.5 Rounds74.5%74.5%70¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed79¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $127 (1.27x)O/U 0.5 Rounds74.5%Polymarket 74.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
74.5%
74.5%
70¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
79¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
74.5%
Polymarket 74.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 74.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $90
Fight won by KO/TKO?70.5%70.5%67¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed74¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Fight won by KO/TKO?70.5%Polymarket 70.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
70.5%
70.5%
67¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
74¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
70.5%
Polymarket 70.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 70.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 67¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $97
Ends before Round 3?67%67%64¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed70¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Ends before Round 3?67%Polymarket 67%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Ends before Round 3?
67%
67%
64¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
70¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Ends before Round 3?
67%
Polymarket 67%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 3?
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes64.5%64.5%64¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed65¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $154 (1.54x)Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes64.5%Polymarket 64.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes
64.5%
64.5%
64¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
65¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes
64.5%
Polymarket 64.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes
- Last price
- 64.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
- Volume
- $39K
Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO?52%52%50¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed54¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO?52%Polymarket 52%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO?
52%
52%
50¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
54¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO?
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $4K
O/U 1.5 Rounds49.5%49.5%49¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)O/U 1.5 Rounds49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
49.5%
49.5%
49¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $2K
Ends before Round 2?45.5%45.5%44¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed47¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Ends before Round 2?45.5%Polymarket 45.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Ends before Round 2?
45.5%
45.5%
44¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
47¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Ends before Round 2?
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 2?
- Last price
- 45.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
Murzakanov in Round 131.5%31.5%27¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed36¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Murzakanov in Round 131.5%Polymarket 31.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Murzakanov in Round 1
31.5%
31.5%
27¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
36¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Murzakanov in Round 1
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Murzakanov in Round 1
- Last price
- 31.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $5
O/U 2.5 Rounds30.5%30.5%26¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed35¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $286 (2.86x)O/U 2.5 Rounds30.5%Polymarket 30.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
30.5%
30.5%
26¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
35¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 30.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
Fight goes the distancePolymarket: “Fight to Go the Distance?”23%23%22¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed24¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Fight goes the distance23%Polymarket 23%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Fight goes the distance
Polymarket: “Fight to Go the Distance?”
23%
23%
22¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
24¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Fight goes the distance
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight to Go the Distance?
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $66
Show 10 more outcomesHide 10 outcomes
Decision or Draw22.5%22.5%18¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed27¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Decision or Draw22.5%Polymarket 22.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Decision or Draw
22.5%
22.5%
18¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
27¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Decision or Draw
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Decision or Draw
- Last price
- 22.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
Fight won by decision?22.5%22.5%18¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed27¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Fight won by decision?22.5%Polymarket 22.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Fight won by decision?
22.5%
22.5%
18¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
27¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Fight won by decision?
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by decision?
- Last price
- 22.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
Reyes to win by KO/TKO?22.5%22.5%20¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed25¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Reyes to win by KO/TKO?22.5%Polymarket 22.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Reyes to win by KO/TKO?
22.5%
22.5%
20¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
25¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Reyes to win by KO/TKO?
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Reyes to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 22.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Fight goes the distance20%Not listed20%20¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 43s ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Fight goes the distance20%Kalshi 20%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Fight goes the distance
20%
Not listed
20%
20¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Fight goes the distance
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fight goes the distance
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $1K
Murzakanov in Round 215.5%15.5%11¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed20¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Murzakanov in Round 215.5%Polymarket 15.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Murzakanov in Round 2
15.5%
15.5%
11¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
20¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Murzakanov in Round 2
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Murzakanov in Round 2
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Reyes in Round 112.5%12.5%8¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed17¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Reyes in Round 112.5%Polymarket 12.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Reyes in Round 1
12.5%
12.5%
8¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
17¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Reyes in Round 1
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Reyes in Round 1
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Reyes in Round 28.5%8.5%4¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed13¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Reyes in Round 28.5%Polymarket 8.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Reyes in Round 2
8.5%
8.5%
4¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
13¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Reyes in Round 2
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Reyes in Round 2
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Fight won by submission?7%7%3¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed11¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Fight won by submission?7%Polymarket 7%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Fight won by submission?
7%
7%
3¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
11¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Fight won by submission?
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by submission?
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Murzakanov in Round 36%6%2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Murzakanov in Round 36%Polymarket 6%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Murzakanov in Round 3
6%
6%
2¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Murzakanov in Round 3
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Murzakanov in Round 3
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $18
Reyes in Round 35%5%1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Reyes in Round 35%Polymarket 5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Reyes in Round 3
5%
5%
1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Reyes in Round 3
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Reyes in Round 3
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports, DAZN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- Ends before Round 3?
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list O/U 0.5 Rounds for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes: Go the Distance". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 74.5%. Next is Fight won by KO/TKO? at 70.5%. $47K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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