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What the markets expect
Fight won by KO/TKO? 69.5%
Next is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 67.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Fight won by KO/TKO?69.5%69.5%65¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed74¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Fight won by KO/TKO?69.5%Polymarket 69.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
69.5%
69.5%
65¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
74¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
69.5%
Polymarket 69.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 69.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $97
O/U 0.5 Rounds67.5%67.5%54¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed81¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $123 (1.23x)O/U 0.5 Rounds67.5%Polymarket 67.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
67.5%
67.5%
54¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
81¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
67.5%
Polymarket 67.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 67.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
Ends before Round 3?67%67%65¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed69¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Ends before Round 3?67%Polymarket 67%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Ends before Round 3?
67%
67%
65¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
69¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Ends before Round 3?
67%
Polymarket 67%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 3?
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes65.5%65.5%65¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed66¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes65.5%Polymarket 65.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes
65.5%
65.5%
65¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
66¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes
65.5%
Polymarket 65.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes
- Last price
- 65.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
- Volume
- $9K
Azamat Murzakanov by KO/TKO/DQ53%Not listed53%52¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 1 min ago53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Azamat Murzakanov by KO/TKO/DQ53%Kalshi 53%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Azamat Murzakanov by KO/TKO/DQ
53%
Not listed
53%
52¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Azamat Murzakanov by KO/TKO/DQ
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Azamat Murzakanov by KO/TKO/DQ
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $1K
Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO?50%50%46¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed54¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO?50%Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO?
50%
50%
46¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
54¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $5
O/U 1.5 Rounds46%46%44¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)O/U 1.5 Rounds46%Polymarket 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
46%
46%
44¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Ends before Round 2?43.5%43.5%41¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed46¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Ends before Round 2?43.5%Polymarket 43.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Ends before Round 2?
43.5%
43.5%
41¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
46¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Ends before Round 2?
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 2?
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
Murzakanov in Round 138%38%26¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Murzakanov in Round 138%Polymarket 38%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Murzakanov in Round 1
38%
38%
26¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Murzakanov in Round 1
38%
Polymarket 38%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Murzakanov in Round 1
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds35%35%24¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed46¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $217 (2.17x)O/U 2.5 Rounds35%Polymarket 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
35%
35%
24¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
46¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
Show 16 more outcomesHide 16 outcomes
Decision or Draw33.5%33.5%17¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Decision or Draw33.5%Polymarket 33.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Decision or Draw
33.5%
33.5%
17¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Decision or Draw
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Decision or Draw
- Last price
- 33.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Fight won by decision?33.5%33.5%17¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Fight won by decision?33.5%Polymarket 33.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Fight won by decision?
33.5%
33.5%
17¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Fight won by decision?
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by decision?
- Last price
- 33.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Reyes to win by KO/TKO?32.5%32.5%16¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed49¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Reyes to win by KO/TKO?32.5%Polymarket 32.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Reyes to win by KO/TKO?
32.5%
32.5%
16¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
49¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Reyes to win by KO/TKO?
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Reyes to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 32.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Murzakanov in Round 230.5%30.5%11¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Murzakanov in Round 230.5%Polymarket 30.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Murzakanov in Round 2
30.5%
30.5%
11¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Murzakanov in Round 2
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Murzakanov in Round 2
- Last price
- 30.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Reyes in Round 128%28%6¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Reyes in Round 128%Polymarket 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Reyes in Round 1
28%
28%
6¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Reyes in Round 1
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Reyes in Round 1
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Murzakanov in Round 326.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Murzakanov in Round 326.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Murzakanov in Round 3
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Murzakanov in Round 3
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Murzakanov in Round 3
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Reyes in Round 226.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Reyes in Round 226.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Reyes in Round 2
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Reyes in Round 2
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Reyes in Round 2
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Reyes in Round 326.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Reyes in Round 326.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Reyes in Round 3
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Reyes in Round 3
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Reyes in Round 3
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Fight won by submission?25.5%25.5%3¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Fight won by submission?25.5%Polymarket 25.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Fight won by submission?
25.5%
25.5%
3¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Fight won by submission?
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by submission?
- Last price
- 25.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Fight to Go the Distance?24%24%23¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed25¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Fight to Go the Distance?24%Polymarket 24%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
24%
24%
23¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
25¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight to Go the Distance?
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Dominick Reyes by KO/TKO/DQ23%Not listed23%20¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 1 min ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Dominick Reyes by KO/TKO/DQ23%Kalshi 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Dominick Reyes by KO/TKO/DQ
23%
Not listed
23%
20¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Dominick Reyes by KO/TKO/DQ
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dominick Reyes by KO/TKO/DQ
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $563
Azamat Murzakanov by Decision12.5%Not listed12.5%12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Azamat Murzakanov by Decision12.5%Kalshi 12.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Azamat Murzakanov by Decision
12.5%
Not listed
12.5%
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Azamat Murzakanov by Decision
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Azamat Murzakanov by Decision
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Dominick Reyes by Decision10%Not listed10%7¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Dominick Reyes by Decision10%Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Dominick Reyes by Decision
10%
Not listed
10%
7¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Dominick Reyes by Decision
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dominick Reyes by Decision
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $554
Azamat Murzakanov by Submission3%Not listed3%2¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Azamat Murzakanov by Submission3%Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Azamat Murzakanov by Submission
3%
Not listed
3%
2¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Azamat Murzakanov by Submission
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Azamat Murzakanov by Submission
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Dominick Reyes by Submission3%Not listed3%2¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Dominick Reyes by Submission3%Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Dominick Reyes by Submission
3%
Not listed
3%
2¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Dominick Reyes by Submission
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dominick Reyes by Submission
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Draw/No Contest2%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Draw/No Contest2%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Draw/No Contest
2%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Draw/No Contest
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Draw/No Contest
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $140
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Paramount+, Fox Sports
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Ends before Round 3?
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list Fight won by KO/TKO? for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes: Method of Victory". Fight won by KO/TKO? leads at 69.5%. Next is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 67.5%. $12K has traded across 26 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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