The Prediction Markets

Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes: Round of Victory

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$27K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

O/U 0.5 Rounds 75.5%

Next is Fight won by KO/TKO? at 70%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
O/U 0.5 Rounds
75.5%
Polymarket 75.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 0.5 Rounds
Last price
75.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Fight won by KO/TKO?
70%
Polymarket 70%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight won by KO/TKO?
Last price
70%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$97
Trade this on Polymarket
Ends before Round 3?
67%
Polymarket 67%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ends before Round 3?
Last price
67%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes
64.5%
Polymarket 64.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes
Last price
64.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Polymarket
Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO?
51.5%
Polymarket 51.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO?
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 1.5 Rounds
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$402
Trade this on Polymarket
Ends before Round 2?
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ends before Round 2?
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Azamat Murzakanov to win in Round 1
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Azamat Murzakanov to win in Round 1
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$887
Trade this on Kalshi
Murzakanov in Round 1
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Murzakanov in Round 1
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 2.5 Rounds
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 16 more outcomes
Decision or Draw
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Decision or Draw
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Fight to Go the Distance?
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight to Go the Distance?
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$66
Trade this on Polymarket
Fight won by decision?
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight won by decision?
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Reyes to win by KO/TKO?
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Reyes to win by KO/TKO?
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Decision / Draw / No Contest
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Decision / Draw / No Contest
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Azamat Murzakanov to win in Round 2
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Azamat Murzakanov to win in Round 2
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$344
Trade this on Kalshi
Murzakanov in Round 2
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Murzakanov in Round 2
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Dominick Reyes to win in Round 1
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dominick Reyes to win in Round 1
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Kalshi
Reyes in Round 1
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Reyes in Round 1
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Reyes in Round 2
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Reyes in Round 2
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Dominick Reyes to win in Round 2
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dominick Reyes to win in Round 2
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Murzakanov in Round 3
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Murzakanov in Round 3
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Fight won by submission?
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fight won by submission?
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Azamat Murzakanov to win in Round 3
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Azamat Murzakanov to win in Round 3
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Reyes in Round 3
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Reyes in Round 3
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Dominick Reyes to win in Round 3
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dominick Reyes to win in Round 3
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Paramount+, Fox Sports

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • O/U 0.5 Rounds
  • Fight won by KO/TKO?
  • Ends before Round 3?

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list O/U 0.5 Rounds for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes: Round of Victory". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 75.5%. Next is Fight won by KO/TKO? at 70%. $27K has traded across 26 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

See all sports markets