The Prediction Markets

Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (October 19, 2026 - October 25, 2026)

Closes
Oct 27, 2026, in 4 days
Traded
$39K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
4 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Above 22.5M 99%

Next is Above 22M at 99%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 22.5M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 22.5M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
81¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 22M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 22M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 23M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 23M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 23.5M
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 23.5M
Last price
98.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 24.5M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 24.5M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 24M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 24M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 25M
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 25M
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 25.5M
91.5%
Kalshi 91.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 25.5M
Last price
91.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 26M
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 26M
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$235
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 26.5M
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 26.5M
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 19 more outcomes
Above 27M
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 27M
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 29M
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 29M
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 28.5M
20.5%
Kalshi 20.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 28.5M
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 28M
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 28M
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 31M
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 31M
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 30M
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 30M
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 30.5M
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 30.5M
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 29.5M
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 29.5M
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 27.5M
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 27.5M
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 31.5M
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 31.5M
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 32.5M
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 32.5M
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
25M
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
25M
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 32M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 32M
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
24M
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
24M
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 33.5M
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 33.5M
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 33M
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 33M
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 34M
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 34M
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
26M
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
26M
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
27M
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
27M
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: charts.youtube.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: YouTube Charts

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 22.5M
  • Above 22M
  • Above 23M

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 22.5M for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (October 19, 2026 - October 25, 2026)". Above 22.5M leads at 99%. Next is Above 22M at 99%. $39K has traded across 29 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More culture markets

See all culture markets