The Prediction Markets

Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers

Closes
Nov 10, 2026, in 17 days
Traded
$168K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Harry Kane 99%

Next is Kylian Mbappé at 99%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Harry Kane
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 26s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Harry Kane
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$439
Trade this on Kalshi
Kylian Mbappé
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 26s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Kylian Mbappé
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lamine Yamal
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 26s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Lamine Yamal
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$578
Trade this on Kalshi
Barcelona
98.1%
Polymarket 98.1%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
98.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.8¢
Sell Yes
96.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$714
Trade this on Polymarket
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$813
Trade this on Kalshi
Lionel Messi
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lionel Messi
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Paris Saint-Germain
96.6%
Polymarket 96.6%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris Saint-Germain
Last price
96.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.6¢
Sell Yes
93.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$169
Trade this on Polymarket
Bayern Munich
96.5%
Polymarket 96.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 96.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
96.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96.9¢
Sell Yes
96.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$923
Trade this on Polymarket
Rodri
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rodri
Last price
94%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$103
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Olise
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Olise
Last price
90%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 76 more outcomes
Ousmane Dembélé
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ousmane Dembélé
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Erling Haaland
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Erling Haaland
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Borussia Dortmund
86.5%
Polymarket 86.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borussia Dortmund
Last price
86.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$568
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Madrid
77.5%
Polymarket 77.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 78.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
77.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78.6¢
Sell Yes
76.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Fabián Ruiz
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fabián Ruiz
Last price
72%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Monaco
70.5%
Polymarket 70.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monaco
Last price
70.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$574
Trade this on Polymarket
Bayer Leverkusen
64%
Polymarket 64%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayer Leverkusen
Last price
64%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Polymarket
Lille
63.5%
Polymarket 63.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lille
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$261
Trade this on Polymarket
RB Leipzig
56.5%
Polymarket 56.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
RB Leipzig
Last price
56.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$850
Trade this on Polymarket
Lyon
55.5%
Polymarket 55.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lyon
Last price
55.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
1. FC Köln
49.6%
Polymarket 49.6%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 97.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
1. FC Köln
Last price
49.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97.9¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Mainz 05
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mainz 05
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Sadio Mané
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sadio Mané
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Dayot Upamecano
45.5%
Kalshi 45.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dayot Upamecano
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Trade this on Kalshi
SC Freiburg
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
SC Freiburg
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$386
Trade this on Polymarket
Marquinhos
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marquinhos
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jude Bellingham
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jude Bellingham
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Kalshi
Rennes
38%
Polymarket 38%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rennes
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
SV Elversberg
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 67.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
SV Elversberg
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$116
Trade this on Polymarket
VfB Stuttgart
33%
Polymarket 33%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfB Stuttgart
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Paris FC
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris FC
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
William Saliba
28.5%
Kalshi 28.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
William Saliba
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Trade this on Kalshi
FC Augsburg
24.6%
Polymarket 24.6%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Augsburg
Last price
24.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlético Madrid
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlético Madrid
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Marseille
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marseille
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Hamburger SV
19.1%
Polymarket 19.1%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 30.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $326 (3.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hamburger SV
Last price
19.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30.7¢
Sell Yes
7.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$326 (3.26x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Vitinha
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vitinha
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Werder Bremen
18.6%
Polymarket 18.6%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Werder Bremen
Last price
18.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lens
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lens
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$363
Trade this on Polymarket
Toulouse
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toulouse
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Polymarket
Lorient
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lorient
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Le Havre
16.4%
Polymarket 16.4%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Le Havre
Last price
16.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$168
Trade this on Polymarket
Angers
16.3%
Polymarket 16.3%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 31.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Angers
Last price
16.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31.9¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Polymarket
Declan Rice
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Declan Rice
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
TSG Hoffenheim
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
TSG Hoffenheim
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$162
Trade this on Polymarket
Pau Cubarsí
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pau Cubarsí
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Schalke 04
11.1%
Polymarket 11.1%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 20.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $498 (4.98x)
Polymarket
Contract
Schalke 04
Last price
11.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20.1¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$498 (4.98x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
João Neves
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
João Neves
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$216
Trade this on Kalshi
Marc Cucurella
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marc Cucurella
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$205
Trade this on Kalshi
Luis Díaz
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Luis Díaz
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$973
Trade this on Kalshi
Lautaro Martínez
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lautaro Martínez
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$228
Trade this on Kalshi
Nuno Mendes
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nuno Mendes
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Willian Pacho
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Willian Pacho
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Kalshi
Ferran Torres
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ferran Torres
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$777
Trade this on Kalshi
Julián Quiñones
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Julián Quiñones
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Achraf Hakimi
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Achraf Hakimi
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bruno Fernandes
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bruno Fernandes
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$189
Trade this on Kalshi
Strasbourg
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 8.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Strasbourg
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.3¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,205 (12.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Union Berlin
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Union Berlin
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$424
Trade this on Polymarket
Brest
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brest
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$43
Trade this on Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rayo Vallecano
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Auxerre
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Auxerre
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$38
Trade this on Polymarket
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Espanyol
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Espanyol
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Le Mans
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Le Mans
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$206
Trade this on Polymarket
Alavés
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alavés
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Valencia
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Valencia
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Villarreal
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Nice
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nice
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Troyes
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Troyes
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$180
Trade this on Polymarket
Getafe
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Getafe
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
SC Paderborn
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
SC Paderborn
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Racing Santander
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Racing Santander
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Levante
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Levante
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Málaga
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Málaga
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Osasuna
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Osasuna
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,941 (29.4x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Deportivo La Coruña
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deportivo La Coruña
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sevilla
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sevilla
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Betis
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Betis
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$31K
Trade this on Polymarket
Elche
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elche
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$674
Trade this on Polymarket
Athletic Bilbao
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Athletic Bilbao
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Gabriel
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gabriel
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vinícius Júnior
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Eintracht Frankfurt
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Eintracht Frankfurt
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$470
Trade this on Polymarket
Celta Vigo
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Celta Vigo
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Ballon d'Or

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Harry Kane
  • Kylian Mbappé
  • Lamine Yamal

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Harry Kane for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers". Harry Kane leads at 99%. Next is Kylian Mbappé at 99%. $168K has traded across 86 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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