The Prediction Markets

Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers

Closes
Nov 10, 2026, in 17 days
Traded
$181K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Barcelona 98.1%

Next is Harry Kane at 97%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Barcelona
98.1%
Polymarket 98.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
98.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.8¢
Sell Yes
96.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$714
Trade this on Polymarket
Harry Kane
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, just nowBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Harry Kane
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lamine Yamal
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lamine Yamal
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Paris Saint-Germain
96.6%
Polymarket 96.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris Saint-Germain
Last price
96.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.6¢
Sell Yes
93.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$169
Trade this on Polymarket
Bayern Munich
96.5%
Polymarket 96.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 96.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
96.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
96.9¢
Sell Yes
96.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$923
Trade this on Polymarket
Borussia Dortmund
86.5%
Polymarket 86.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borussia Dortmund
Last price
86.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$568
Trade this on Polymarket
Kylian Mbappé
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, just nowBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kylian Mbappé
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Real Madrid
77.5%
Polymarket 77.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 78.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
77.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
78.6¢
Sell Yes
76.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Monaco
70.5%
Polymarket 70.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monaco
Last price
70.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$574
Trade this on Polymarket
Bayer Leverkusen
70%
Polymarket 70%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayer Leverkusen
Last price
70%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 76 more outcomes
Lille
62%
Polymarket 62%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lille
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$261
Trade this on Polymarket
Lyon
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lyon
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
RB Leipzig
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
RB Leipzig
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$850
Trade this on Polymarket
1. FC Köln
49.9%
Polymarket 49.9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 97.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
1. FC Köln
Last price
49.9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
97.9¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Dayot Upamecano
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dayot Upamecano
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Gabriel
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gabriel
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
João Neves
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
João Neves
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Julián Quiñones
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Julián Quiñones
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Marc Cucurella
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marc Cucurella
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Marquinhos
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marquinhos
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nuno Mendes
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nuno Mendes
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sadio Mané
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sadio Mané
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
William Saliba
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
William Saliba
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Willian Pacho
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Willian Pacho
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
SV Elversberg
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
SV Elversberg
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
95.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$116
Trade this on Polymarket
Mainz 05
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mainz 05
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Achraf Hakimi
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, just nowBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Achraf Hakimi
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Lautaro Martínez
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, just nowBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lautaro Martínez
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Vinícius Júnior
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, just nowBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vinícius Júnior
Last price
44%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
SC Freiburg
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
SC Freiburg
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$386
Trade this on Polymarket
Le Havre
41.1%
Polymarket 41.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 81.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Le Havre
Last price
41.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
81.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$168
Trade this on Polymarket
Bruno Fernandes
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, just nowBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bruno Fernandes
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Rennes
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rennes
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Luis Díaz
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, just nowBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Luis Díaz
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Paris FC
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris FC
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Trade this on Polymarket
VfB Stuttgart
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfB Stuttgart
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Werder Bremen
28.1%
Polymarket 28.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
Werder Bremen
Last price
28.1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Declan Rice
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, just nowBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
Contract
Declan Rice
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Toulouse
26%
Polymarket 26%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toulouse
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Augsburg
24.6%
Polymarket 24.6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Augsburg
Last price
24.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Lorient
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lorient
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Angers
22.4%
Polymarket 22.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $226 (2.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Angers
Last price
22.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44.3¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$226 (2.26x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlético Madrid
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlético Madrid
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Marseille
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marseille
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lens
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lens
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$363
Trade this on Polymarket
TSG Hoffenheim
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
TSG Hoffenheim
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$162
Trade this on Polymarket
Hamburger SV
14.3%
Polymarket 14.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 21.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $474 (4.74x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hamburger SV
Last price
14.3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
21.1¢
Sell Yes
7.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$474 (4.74x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lionel Messi
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, just nowBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lionel Messi
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Kalshi
Schalke 04
11.2%
Polymarket 11.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 20.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $493 (4.93x)
Polymarket
Contract
Schalke 04
Last price
11.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
20.3¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$493 (4.93x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Rodri
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rodri
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Fabián Ruiz
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fabián Ruiz
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Erling Haaland
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Erling Haaland
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$148
Trade this on Kalshi
Strasbourg
5.4%
Polymarket 5.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Strasbourg
Last price
5.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9.1¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,099 (11.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ousmane Dembélé
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ousmane Dembélé
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Union Berlin
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Union Berlin
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$424
Trade this on Polymarket
Brest
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brest
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$43
Trade this on Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rayo Vallecano
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Espanyol
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Espanyol
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Michael Olise
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Olise
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Le Mans
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Le Mans
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$206
Trade this on Polymarket
Alavés
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alavés
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Valencia
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Valencia
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Nice
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nice
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
Villarreal
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Troyes
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Troyes
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$180
Trade this on Polymarket
Auxerre
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Auxerre
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$38
Trade this on Polymarket
Getafe
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Getafe
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Racing Santander
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Racing Santander
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
SC Paderborn
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
SC Paderborn
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Levante
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Levante
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Málaga
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Málaga
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Deportivo La Coruña
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deportivo La Coruña
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sevilla
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sevilla
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Betis
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Betis
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$31K
Trade this on Polymarket
Elche
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elche
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$674
Trade this on Polymarket
Athletic Bilbao
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Athletic Bilbao
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ferran Torres
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ferran Torres
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Kalshi
Jude Bellingham
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jude Bellingham
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$245
Trade this on Kalshi
Pau Cubarsí
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pau Cubarsí
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Vitinha
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vitinha
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Kalshi
Eintracht Frankfurt
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Eintracht Frankfurt
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$470
Trade this on Polymarket
Celta Vigo
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Celta Vigo
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Osasuna
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Osasuna
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Ballon d'Or

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Barcelona
  • Harry Kane
  • Lamine Yamal

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Barcelona for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers". Barcelona leads at 98.1%. Next is Harry Kane at 97%. $181K has traded across 86 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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