The Prediction Markets

Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers

Closes
Nov 10, 2026, in 17 days
Traded
$147K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Harry Kane 99%

Next is Barcelona at 98%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Harry Kane
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Harry Kane
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$297
Trade this on Kalshi
Barcelona
98%
Polymarket 98%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 99.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.8¢
Sell Yes
96.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$714
Trade this on Polymarket
Kylian Mbappé
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kylian Mbappé
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lamine Yamal
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lamine Yamal
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$910
Trade this on Kalshi
Paris Saint-Germain
96.6%
Polymarket 96.6%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 99.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris Saint-Germain
Last price
96.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.6¢
Sell Yes
93.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$169
Trade this on Polymarket
Bayern Munich
96.5%
Polymarket 96.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 96.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
96.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96.8¢
Sell Yes
96.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$923
Trade this on Polymarket
Borussia Dortmund
86.5%
Polymarket 86.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borussia Dortmund
Last price
86.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$568
Trade this on Polymarket
Rodri
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rodri
Last price
78%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Real Madrid
77.5%
Polymarket 77.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 78.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
77.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78.6¢
Sell Yes
76.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lionel Messi
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lionel Messi
Last price
72%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 76 more outcomes
Monaco
70.5%
Polymarket 70.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monaco
Last price
70.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$574
Trade this on Polymarket
Bayer Leverkusen
70%
Polymarket 70%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayer Leverkusen
Last price
70%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Polymarket
Lille
62%
Polymarket 62%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lille
Last price
62%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$261
Trade this on Polymarket
Lyon
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lyon
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
RB Leipzig
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
RB Leipzig
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$850
Trade this on Polymarket
1. FC Köln
49.7%
Polymarket 49.7%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 97.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
1. FC Köln
Last price
49.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97.9¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Paris FC
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris FC
Last price
48%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lorient
45%
Polymarket 45%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lorient
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Mainz 05
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mainz 05
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Trade this on Polymarket
SC Freiburg
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
SC Freiburg
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$386
Trade this on Polymarket
Rennes
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rennes
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Le Havre
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 80.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Le Havre
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80.2¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$168
Trade this on Polymarket
SV Elversberg
37.6%
Polymarket 37.6%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 74.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
SV Elversberg
Last price
37.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74.1¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$116
Trade this on Polymarket
Michael Olise
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Olise
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
VfB Stuttgart
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfB Stuttgart
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Werder Bremen
27%
Polymarket 27%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 52.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Werder Bremen
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Toulouse
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toulouse
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Augsburg
24.6%
Polymarket 24.6%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Augsburg
Last price
24.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Angers
24.4%
Polymarket 24.4%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Angers
Last price
24.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlético Madrid
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlético Madrid
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Marseille
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marseille
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lens
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lens
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$363
Trade this on Polymarket
Ousmane Dembélé
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ousmane Dembélé
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hamburger SV
15.6%
Polymarket 15.6%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 23.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $420 (4.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hamburger SV
Last price
15.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23.8¢
Sell Yes
7.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$420 (4.20x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
TSG Hoffenheim
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
TSG Hoffenheim
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$162
Trade this on Polymarket
Schalke 04
12.7%
Polymarket 12.7%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Schalke 04
Last price
12.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Fabián Ruiz
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fabián Ruiz
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Erling Haaland
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Erling Haaland
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Declan Rice
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Declan Rice
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$483
Trade this on Kalshi
Jude Bellingham
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jude Bellingham
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ferran Torres
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ferran Torres
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
João Neves
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
João Neves
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Kalshi
Julián Quiñones
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Julián Quiñones
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$548
Trade this on Kalshi
Pau Cubarsí
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pau Cubarsí
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Union Berlin
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Union Berlin
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$424
Trade this on Polymarket
Brest
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brest
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$43
Trade this on Polymarket
Rayo Vallecano
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rayo Vallecano
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Strasbourg
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Strasbourg
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Espanyol
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Espanyol
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Le Mans
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Le Mans
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$206
Trade this on Polymarket
Betis
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Betis
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Volume
$31K
Trade this on Polymarket
Alavés
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alavés
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Nice
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nice
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
Troyes
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Troyes
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$180
Trade this on Polymarket
SC Paderborn
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
SC Paderborn
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Valencia
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Valencia
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Getafe
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Getafe
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Auxerre
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Auxerre
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$38
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Sociedad
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Sociedad
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Racing Santander
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Racing Santander
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Levante
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Levante
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Villarreal
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Achraf Hakimi
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Achraf Hakimi
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bruno Fernandes
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Dayot Upamecano
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dayot Upamecano
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Gabriel
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gabriel
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Lautaro Martínez
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lautaro Martínez
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Luis Díaz
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Luis Díaz
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Marc Cucurella
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marc Cucurella
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Marquinhos
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marquinhos
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nuno Mendes
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nuno Mendes
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sadio Mané
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sadio Mané
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vinícius Júnior
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
William Saliba
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
William Saliba
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Willian Pacho
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Willian Pacho
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Deportivo La Coruña
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deportivo La Coruña
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Málaga
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Málaga
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sevilla
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sevilla
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Elche
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elche
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$674
Trade this on Polymarket
Athletic Bilbao
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Athletic Bilbao
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Vitinha
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vitinha
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$82
Trade this on Kalshi
Eintracht Frankfurt
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Eintracht Frankfurt
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$470
Trade this on Polymarket
Osasuna
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Osasuna
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Celta Vigo
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Celta Vigo
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Ballon d'Or

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Harry Kane
  • Barcelona
  • Kylian Mbappé

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Harry Kane for this event.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers". Harry Kane leads at 99%. Next is Barcelona at 98%. $147K has traded across 86 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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