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What the markets expect
Harry Kane 94%
Next is Kylian Mbappé at 73.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Harry Kane94%94%92¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 1 min ago96¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Harry Kane94%Polymarket 94%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Harry Kane
94%
94%
92¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
96¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Harry Kane
94%
Polymarket 94%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Harry Kane
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $4K
Kylian Mbappé73.5%73.5%71¢ bid, 76¢ askpolled, 1 min ago76¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $132 (1.32x)Kylian Mbappé73.5%Polymarket 73.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kylian Mbappé
73.5%
73.5%
71¢ bid, 76¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
76¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kylian Mbappé
73.5%
Polymarket 73.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kylian Mbappé
- Last price
- 73.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
- Volume
- $5K
Lamine Yamal28.5%28.5%26¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 1 min ago31¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Lamine Yamal28.5%Polymarket 28.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Lamine Yamal
28.5%
28.5%
26¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
31¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Lamine Yamal
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lamine Yamal
- Last price
- 28.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $24K
Lionel Messi11.6%11.6%3.4¢ bid, 19.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago19.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $505 (5.05x)Lionel Messi11.6%Polymarket 11.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $505 (5.05x)
Lionel Messi
11.6%
11.6%
3.4¢ bid, 19.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
19.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $505 (5.05x)
Lionel Messi
11.6%
Polymarket 11.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $505 (5.05x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lionel Messi
- Last price
- 11.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 19.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $505 (5.05x)
- Volume
- $3K
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia10.4%10.4%0.9¢ bid, 19.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago19.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $505 (5.05x)Khvicha Kvaratskhelia10.4%Polymarket 10.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $505 (5.05x)
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
10.4%
10.4%
0.9¢ bid, 19.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
19.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $505 (5.05x)
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
10.4%
Polymarket 10.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $505 (5.05x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
- Last price
- 10.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 19.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $505 (5.05x)
- Volume
- $600
Michael Olise8.2%8.2%1.4¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 1 min ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Michael Olise8.2%Polymarket 8.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Michael Olise
8.2%
8.2%
1.4¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Michael Olise
8.2%
Polymarket 8.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Michael Olise
- Last price
- 8.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Dayot Upamecano5%5%0.1¢ bid, 9.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)Dayot Upamecano5%Polymarket 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Dayot Upamecano
5%
5%
0.1¢ bid, 9.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Dayot Upamecano
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dayot Upamecano
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,020 (10.2x)
- Volume
- $108
Luis Diaz4.1%4.1%0.2¢ bid, 7.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)Luis Diaz4.1%Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Luis Diaz
4.1%
4.1%
0.2¢ bid, 7.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Luis Diaz
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Luis Diaz
- Last price
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,266 (12.7x)
- Volume
- $172
William Saliba4%4%0.2¢ bid, 7.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)William Saliba4%Polymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
William Saliba
4%
4%
0.2¢ bid, 7.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
William Saliba
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- William Saliba
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,282 (12.8x)
- Volume
- $237
Marc Cucurella3.8%3.8%0.2¢ bid, 7.4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)Marc Cucurella3.8%Polymarket 3.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Marc Cucurella
3.8%
3.8%
0.2¢ bid, 7.4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Marc Cucurella
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Marc Cucurella
- Last price
- 3.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,351 (13.5x)
- Volume
- $269
Show 20 more outcomesHide 20 outcomes
Ferran Torres3.5%3.5%0.1¢ bid, 6.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)Ferran Torres3.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Ferran Torres
3.5%
3.5%
0.1¢ bid, 6.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Ferran Torres
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ferran Torres
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,449 (14.5x)
- Volume
- $83
Ousmane Dembélé2.6%2.6%0.9¢ bid, 4.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)Ousmane Dembélé2.6%Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Ousmane Dembélé
2.6%
2.6%
0.9¢ bid, 4.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Ousmane Dembélé
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ousmane Dembélé
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,381 (23.8x)
- Volume
- $2K
Erling Haaland2.5%2.5%0.2¢ bid, 4.7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)Erling Haaland2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Erling Haaland
2.5%
2.5%
0.2¢ bid, 4.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Erling Haaland
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Erling Haaland
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,128 (21.3x)
- Volume
- $235
Pau Cubarsi2.5%2.5%0.2¢ bid, 4.7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)Pau Cubarsi2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Pau Cubarsi
2.5%
2.5%
0.2¢ bid, 4.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Pau Cubarsi
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pau Cubarsi
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,128 (21.3x)
- Volume
- $438
Rodri2.5%2.5%1.6¢ bid, 3.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago3.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)Rodri2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Rodri
2.5%
2.5%
1.6¢ bid, 3.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
3.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Rodri
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rodri
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,030 (30.3x)
- Volume
- $1K
Marquinhos2.4%2.4%0.1¢ bid, 4.7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)Marquinhos2.4%Polymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Marquinhos
2.4%
2.4%
0.1¢ bid, 4.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Marquinhos
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Marquinhos
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,128 (21.3x)
- Volume
- $259
Vinícius Júnior1.6%1.6%0.1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Vinícius Júnior1.6%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Vinícius Júnior
1.6%
1.6%
0.1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Vinícius Júnior
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Vinícius Júnior
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $408
Achraf Hakimi1.5%1.5%0.1¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)Achraf Hakimi1.5%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Achraf Hakimi
1.5%
1.5%
0.1¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Achraf Hakimi
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Achraf Hakimi
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
- Volume
- $320
Declan Rice1.1%1.1%0.1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Declan Rice1.1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Declan Rice
1.1%
1.1%
0.1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Declan Rice
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Declan Rice
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $373
Gabriel Magalhães1.1%1.1%0.1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Gabriel Magalhães1.1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Gabriel Magalhães
1.1%
1.1%
0.1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Gabriel Magalhães
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gabriel Magalhães
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Fabian Ruiz1%1%0.1¢ bid, 1.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)Fabian Ruiz1%Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Fabian Ruiz
1%
1%
0.1¢ bid, 1.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fabian Ruiz
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,263 (52.6x)
- Volume
- $335
Sadio Mané1%1%0.1¢ bid, 1.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)Sadio Mané1%Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Sadio Mané
1%
1%
0.1¢ bid, 1.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Sadio Mané
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sadio Mané
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,263 (52.6x)
- Volume
- $409
João Neves0.8%0.8%0.1¢ bid, 1.4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)João Neves0.8%Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
João Neves
0.8%
0.8%
0.1¢ bid, 1.4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
João Neves
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- João Neves
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,143 (71.4x)
- Volume
- $258
Julián Quiñones0.7%0.7%0.1¢ bid, 1.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)Julián Quiñones0.7%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Julián Quiñones
0.7%
0.7%
0.1¢ bid, 1.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Julián Quiñones
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Julián Quiñones
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,692 (76.9x)
- Volume
- $230
Nuno Mendes0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Nuno Mendes0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Nuno Mendes
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Nuno Mendes
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nuno Mendes
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $764
Jude Bellingham0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Jude Bellingham0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Jude Bellingham
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Jude Bellingham
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jude Bellingham
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $2K
Lautaro Martinez0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Lautaro Martinez0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Lautaro Martinez
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Lautaro Martinez
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lautaro Martinez
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $3K
Bruno Fernandes0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Bruno Fernandes0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Bruno Fernandes
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Bruno Fernandes
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bruno Fernandes
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $4K
Vitinha0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Vitinha0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Vitinha
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Vitinha
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Vitinha
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $982
Willian Pacho0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Willian Pacho0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Willian Pacho
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Willian Pacho
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Willian Pacho
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $4K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Harry Kane
- Kylian Mbappé
- Lamine Yamal
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Ballon d'Or Top 2 Finish 2026". Harry Kane leads at 94%. Next is Kylian Mbappé at 73.5%. $61K has traded across 30 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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