The Prediction Markets

Bantamweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?

Closes
Dec 31, 2027, in 14 months
Traded
$4K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Merab Dvalishvili 47%

Next is Sean O'Malley at 35%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Merab Dvalishvili
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Merab Dvalishvili
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$370
Trade this on Kalshi
Sean O'Malley
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sean O'Malley
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Petr Yan
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Petr Yan
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$461
Trade this on Kalshi
Deiveson Figueiredo
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Deiveson Figueiredo
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$361
Trade this on Kalshi
Payton Talbott
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Payton Talbott
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$333
Trade this on Kalshi
Song Yadong
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Song Yadong
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$270
Trade this on Kalshi
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cory Sandhagen
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$536
Trade this on Kalshi
Marlon Vera
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marlon Vera
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Umar Nurmagomedov
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Umar Nurmagomedov
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$103
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: MMA Fighting, Fox Sports, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Merab Dvalishvili
  • Sean O'Malley
  • Petr Yan

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Bantamweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?". Merab Dvalishvili leads at 47%. Next is Sean O'Malley at 35%. $4K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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