The Prediction Markets

Bassols Ribera vs Burrage

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$4K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Jodie Anna Burrage 61%

Next is Set Handicap: Jodie Anna Burrage (-1.5) vs Marina Bassols Ribera (+1.5) at 50%. The venues differ most on Bassols Ribera (Polymarket 42%, Kalshi 45%), a 3.0-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Jodie Anna Burrage
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jodie Anna Burrage
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Set Handicap: Jodie Anna Burrage (-1.5) vs Marina Bassols Ribera (+1.5)
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Jodie Anna Burrage (-1.5) vs Marina Bassols Ribera (+1.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
33¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Set Handicap: Marina Bassols Ribera (-1.5) vs Jodie Anna Burrage (+1.5)
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Marina Bassols Ribera (-1.5) vs Jodie Anna Burrage (+1.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
22¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Bassols Ribera
42.8%
Polymarket 42%polled, 3 min agoKalshi 45%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
W100 Wrexham: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Jodie Anna Burrage
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Marina Bassols Ribera
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$229
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 44¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 44¢.

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 30, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 6, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: itftennis.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ITF, ESPN, Flashscore
Show full rule comparison
  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes Oct 30, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 6, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jodie Anna Burrage
  • Set Handicap: Jodie Anna Burrage (-1.5) vs Marina Bassols Ribera (+1.5)
  • Set Handicap: Marina Bassols Ribera (-1.5) vs Jodie Anna Burrage (+1.5)

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Jodie Anna Burrage for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Bassols Ribera vs Burrage". Jodie Anna Burrage leads at 61%. Next is Set Handicap: Jodie Anna Burrage (-1.5) vs Marina Bassols Ribera (+1.5) at 50%. $4K has traded across 4 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 6, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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