The Prediction Markets

Bednarik Award Winner

Closes
Jan 7, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

A.J. Holmes Jr. 17%

Next is Amare Ferrell at 17%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
A.J. Holmes Jr.
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
A.J. Holmes Jr.
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Amare Ferrell
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Amare Ferrell
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Baron Hopson
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Baron Hopson
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ben Roberts
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ben Roberts
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Boubacar Traore
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Boubacar Traore
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Brandon Finney Jr.
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brandon Finney Jr.
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Bray Hubbard
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bray Hubbard
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Bryce Llewellyn
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Llewellyn
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cade Uluave
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cade Uluave
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
CJ Doggette Jr.
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
CJ Doggette Jr.
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 41 more outcomes
Clev Lubin
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Clev Lubin
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
David Stone
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
David Stone
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Donnie Smith
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Donnie Smith
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Drayk Bowen
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drayk Bowen
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Dylan LaBarbera
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dylan LaBarbera
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Dylan Stewart
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dylan Stewart
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Faletau Satuala
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Faletau Satuala
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Isaiah Jones
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Isaiah Jones
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jack Tchienchou
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jack Tchienchou
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jamel Johnson
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jamel Johnson
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jaxton Eck
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxton Eck
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jaylen McClain
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jaylen McClain
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
John Henry Daley
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
John Henry Daley
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kam Robinson
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kam Robinson
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kelley Jones
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kelley Jones
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kemari Copeland
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kemari Copeland
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kenyatta Jackson Jr.
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kenyatta Jackson Jr.
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kip Lewis
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kip Lewis
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
KJ Bolden
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
KJ Bolden
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Koen Entringer
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Koen Entringer
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Matt Rose
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matt Rose
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Melkart Abou Jaoude
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Melkart Abou Jaoude
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
MJ Stroud
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
MJ Stroud
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Quincy Rhodes Jr.
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Quincy Rhodes Jr.
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Rasheem Biles
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rasheem Biles
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Rolijah Hardy
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rolijah Hardy
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sammy Brown
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sammy Brown
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Simeon Harris
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Simeon Harris
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Taye Brown
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Taye Brown
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tre'Quon Fegans
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tre'Quon Fegans
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ty Redmond
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ty Redmond
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyrique Tucker
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyrique Tucker
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Will Echoles wins the award
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Echoles wins the award
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Will James wins the award
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will James wins the award
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Xavier Atkins
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Xavier Atkins
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Zabien Brown
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zabien Brown
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Zach Lutmer
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zach Lutmer
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Leonard Moore
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Leonard Moore
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Kalshi
Princewill Umanmielen
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Princewill Umanmielen
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$208
Trade this on Kalshi
Anthony Smith
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anthony Smith
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Kalshi
Colin Simmons
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 49s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Colin Simmons
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$778
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, Fox Sports, Bleacher Report

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • A.J. Holmes Jr.
  • Amare Ferrell
  • Baron Hopson

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Bednarik Award Winner". A.J. Holmes Jr. leads at 17%. Next is Amare Ferrell at 17%. $1K has traded across 51 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 7, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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