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Trading ended on Jul 27, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Romelu Lukaku45%45%5¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Romelu Lukaku45%Kalshi 45%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Romelu Lukaku
45%
45%
5¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Romelu Lukaku
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Romelu Lukaku
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $918
Matias Fernandez39.5%39.5%— bid, 79¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Matias Fernandez39.5%Kalshi 39.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Matias Fernandez
39.5%
39.5%
— bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Matias Fernandez
39.5%
Kalshi 39.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matias Fernandez
- Last price
- 39.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
Maxime De Cuyper39.5%39.5%— bid, 79¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Maxime De Cuyper39.5%Kalshi 39.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Maxime De Cuyper
39.5%
39.5%
— bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Maxime De Cuyper
39.5%
Kalshi 39.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Maxime De Cuyper
- Last price
- 39.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
Charles De Ketelaere33%33%1¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Charles De Ketelaere33%Kalshi 33%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Charles De Ketelaere
33%
33%
1¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Charles De Ketelaere
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charles De Ketelaere
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $438
Kevin De Bruyne19%19%— bid, 33¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Kevin De Bruyne19%Kalshi 19%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kevin De Bruyne
19%
19%
— bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kevin De Bruyne
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kevin De Bruyne
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $798
Leandro Trossard18%18%— bid, 17¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Leandro Trossard18%Kalshi 18%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Leandro Trossard
18%
18%
— bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Leandro Trossard
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Leandro Trossard
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $125
Youri Tielemans8%8%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Youri Tielemans8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Youri Tielemans
8%
8%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Youri Tielemans
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Youri Tielemans
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $1
Jeremy Doku6%6%6¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Jeremy Doku6%Kalshi 6%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Jeremy Doku
6%
6%
6¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Jeremy Doku
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jeremy Doku
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $8K
Dodi Lukebakio4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Dodi Lukebakio4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Dodi Lukebakio
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Dodi Lukebakio
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dodi Lukebakio
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Alexis Saelemaekers3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Alexis Saelemaekers3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Alexis Saelemaekers
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Alexis Saelemaekers
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alexis Saelemaekers
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Show 14 more outcomesHide 14 outcomes
Hans Vanaken3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Hans Vanaken3%Kalshi 3%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Hans Vanaken
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Hans Vanaken
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hans Vanaken
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
No Goalscorer3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)No Goalscorer3%Kalshi 3%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
No Goalscorer
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
No Goalscorer
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- No Goalscorer
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Diego Moreira2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Diego Moreira2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Diego Moreira
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Diego Moreira
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Diego Moreira
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Amadou Onana2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Amadou Onana2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Amadou Onana
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Amadou Onana
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amadou Onana
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Axel Witsel2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Axel Witsel2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Axel Witsel
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Axel Witsel
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Axel Witsel
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Thomas Meunier2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Thomas Meunier2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Thomas Meunier
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Thomas Meunier
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Thomas Meunier
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Arthur Theate1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Arthur Theate1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Arthur Theate
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Arthur Theate
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arthur Theate
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Brandon Mechele1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Brandon Mechele1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Brandon Mechele
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Brandon Mechele
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brandon Mechele
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Joaquin Seys1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Joaquin Seys1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Joaquin Seys
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Joaquin Seys
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joaquin Seys
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Koni De Winter1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Koni De Winter1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Koni De Winter
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Koni De Winter
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Koni De Winter
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Nathan Ngoy1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Nathan Ngoy1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Nathan Ngoy
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Nathan Ngoy
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nathan Ngoy
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Nicolas Raskin1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Nicolas Raskin1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Nicolas Raskin
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Nicolas Raskin
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nicolas Raskin
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Timothy Castagne1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Timothy Castagne1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Timothy Castagne
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Timothy Castagne
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Timothy Castagne
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Zeno Debast1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3031 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Zeno Debast1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Zeno Debast
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3031 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Zeno Debast
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3031 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zeno Debast
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIFA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Romelu Lukaku
- Matias Fernandez
- Maxime De Cuyper
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Belgium: Goal Leader". Romelu Lukaku last traded at 45%. Next is Matias Fernandez at 39.5%. $10K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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