The Prediction Markets

Besta deild karla (Iceland): 10th Place (Relegation Survivor) 2026

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

FH Hafnarfjörður 50%

Next is KA Akureyri at 49.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
FH Hafnarfjörður
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
FH Hafnarfjörður
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
KA Akureyri
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
KA Akureyri
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
r Akureyri
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
r Akureyri
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Valur Reykjavík
43.7%
Polymarket 43.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 87.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
Contract
Valur Reykjavík
Last price
43.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
87.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$96
Trade this on Polymarket
Stjarnan
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stjarnan
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$84
Trade this on Polymarket
Breiðablik
39.8%
Polymarket 39.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 79.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $126 (1.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Breiðablik
Last price
39.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
79.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$126 (1.26x)
Volume
$477
Trade this on Polymarket
Keflavík
37.6%
Polymarket 37.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 75.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Keflavík
Last price
37.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
75.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$668
Trade this on Polymarket
A Akranes
31.6%
Polymarket 31.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 62.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
A Akranes
Last price
31.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
62.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$412
Trade this on Polymarket
BV Vestmannaeyjar
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
BV Vestmannaeyjar
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • FH Hafnarfjörður
  • KA Akureyri
  • r Akureyri

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Besta deild karla (Iceland): 10th Place (Relegation Survivor) 2026". FH Hafnarfjörður leads at 50%. Next is KA Akureyri at 49.5%. $2K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 10th in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland). Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 10th in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland) season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 10th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Besta deild karla (Iceland); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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