The Prediction Markets

Big Ten: Passing Yards Leader

Closes
Jan 7, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$15K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Jayden Maiava 56.3%

Next is Ryan Browne at 9.7%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Jayden Maiava 56.3%Ryan Browne 9.7%Rocco Becht 5.6%Anthony Colandrea 4.8%Aidan Chiles 4%16 others 19.6%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Jayden Maiava
56.3%
Kalshi 70%(56.2% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Maiava
Last price
70%
Fair, margin removed
56.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ryan Browne
9.7%
Kalshi 12%(9.6% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ryan Browne
Last price
12%
Fair, margin removed
9.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Rocco Becht
5.6%
Kalshi 7%(5.6% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rocco Becht
Last price
7%
Fair, margin removed
5.6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$541
Trade this on Kalshi
Anthony Colandrea
4.8%
Kalshi 6%(4.8% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anthony Colandrea
Last price
6%
Fair, margin removed
4.8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$577
Trade this on Kalshi
Aidan Chiles
4%
Kalshi 5%(4% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aidan Chiles
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$398
Trade this on Kalshi
Malik Washington
4%
Kalshi 5%(4% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Washington
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Drake Lindsey
3.2%
Kalshi 4%(3.2% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Lindsey
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
3.2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$306
Trade this on Kalshi
Nico Iamaleava
2.4%
Kalshi 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nico Iamaleava
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$189
Trade this on Kalshi
Katin Houser
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Katin Houser
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Kalshi
Alessio Milivojevic
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alessio Milivojevic
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 11 more outcomes
Bryce Underwood
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bryce Underwood
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Kalshi
Colton Joseph
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Colton Joseph
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Dante Moore
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dante Moore
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Demond Williams Jr.
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Demond Williams Jr.
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$792
Trade this on Kalshi
Dylan Lonergan
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dylan Lonergan
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$136
Trade this on Kalshi
Hank Brown
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hank Brown
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Hoover
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Hoover
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Julian Sayin
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Julian Sayin
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cardell Williams
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cardell Williams
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Dylan Raiola
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dylan Raiola
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jayden Maiava
  • Ryan Browne
  • Rocco Becht

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Big Ten: Passing Yards Leader". Jayden Maiava leads at 56.3%. Next is Ryan Browne at 9.7%. $15K has traded across 21 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 7, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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