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What the markets expect
Ohio State 85%
Next is Indiana at 79%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Ohio State85%85%76¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 42s ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Ohio State85%Kalshi 85%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Ohio State
85%
85%
76¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Ohio State
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ohio State
- Last price
- 85%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
- Volume
- $1K
Indiana79%79%79¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 42s ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Indiana79%Kalshi 79%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Indiana
79%
79%
79¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Indiana
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana
- Last price
- 79%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 79¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
- Volume
- $573
UCLA59%59%57¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 42s ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)UCLA59%Kalshi 59%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
UCLA
59%
59%
57¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
UCLA
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
- Volume
- $1K
Oregon32%32%14¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 42s ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Oregon32%Kalshi 32%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Oregon
32%
32%
14¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Oregon
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oregon
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $115
Iowa25%25%13¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 42s ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Iowa25%Kalshi 25%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Iowa
25%
25%
13¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Iowa
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $499
USC21%21%4¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 42s ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)USC21%Kalshi 21%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
USC
21%
21%
4¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
USC
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- USC
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $238
Minnesota12%12%— bid, 12¢ askpolled, 42s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Minnesota12%Kalshi 12%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Minnesota
12%
12%
— bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Minnesota
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $68
Wisconsin9%9%9¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 42s ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Wisconsin9%Kalshi 9%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Wisconsin
9%
9%
9¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Wisconsin
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Wisconsin
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $70
Northwestern8.5%8.5%1¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 42s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Northwestern8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Northwestern
8.5%
8.5%
1¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Northwestern
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Northwestern
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Nebraska6.5%6.5%— bid, 13¢ askpolled, 42s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Nebraska6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Nebraska
6.5%
6.5%
— bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Nebraska
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nebraska
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Show 8 more outcomesHide 8 outcomes
Michigan5.5%5.5%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 42s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Michigan5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Michigan
5.5%
5.5%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Michigan
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Illinois5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 42s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Illinois5%Kalshi 5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Illinois
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Illinois
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Illinois
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Maryland5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 42s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Maryland5%Kalshi 5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Maryland
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Maryland
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Maryland
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Michigan St.5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 42s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Michigan St.5%Kalshi 5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Michigan St.
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Michigan St.
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan St.
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Purdue5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 42s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Purdue5%Kalshi 5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Purdue
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Purdue
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Purdue
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Rutgers5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 42s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Rutgers5%Kalshi 5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Rutgers
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Rutgers
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rutgers
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Washington5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 42s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Washington5%Kalshi 5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Washington
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Washington
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Washington
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Penn State1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 42s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Penn State1%Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Penn State
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 42s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Penn State
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn State
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $20
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Ohio State
- Indiana
- UCLA
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Big Ten Regular Season: Top 3 Finishers". Ohio State leads at 85%. Next is Indiana at 79%. $4K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 7, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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