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What the markets expect
UCLA 85%
Next is Indiana at 84%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
UCLA85%85%83¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 28s ago85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)UCLA85%Kalshi 85%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
UCLA
85%
85%
83¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
UCLA
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA
- Last price
- 85%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
- Volume
- $3K
Indiana84%84%75¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 28s ago84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)Indiana84%Kalshi 84%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Indiana
84%
84%
75¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Indiana
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana
- Last price
- 84%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
- Volume
- $3K
Ohio State83%83%83¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 28s ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Ohio State83%Kalshi 83%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Ohio State
83%
83%
83¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Ohio State
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ohio State
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $1K
Wisconsin39%39%25¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 28s ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Wisconsin39%Kalshi 39%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Wisconsin
39%
39%
25¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Wisconsin
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Wisconsin
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $113
Iowa38%38%26¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 28s ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Iowa38%Kalshi 38%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Iowa
38%
38%
26¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Iowa
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $572
Oregon29%29%25¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 28s ago48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Oregon29%Kalshi 29%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Oregon
29%
29%
25¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Oregon
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oregon
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $136
USC26%26%10¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 28s ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)USC26%Kalshi 26%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
USC
26%
26%
10¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
USC
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- USC
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $166
Northwestern23%23%4¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 28s ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Northwestern23%Kalshi 23%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Northwestern
23%
23%
4¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Northwestern
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Northwestern
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $43
Michigan17%17%— bid, 17¢ askpolled, 28s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Michigan17%Kalshi 17%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Michigan
17%
17%
— bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Michigan
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $156
Minnesota13%13%4¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 28s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Minnesota13%Kalshi 13%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Minnesota
13%
13%
4¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Minnesota
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $109
Show 8 more outcomesHide 8 outcomes
Michigan St.11%11%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 28s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Michigan St.11%Kalshi 11%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Michigan St.
11%
11%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Michigan St.
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan St.
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $277
Nebraska11%11%— bid, 17¢ askpolled, 28s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Nebraska11%Kalshi 11%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Nebraska
11%
11%
— bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Nebraska
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nebraska
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $178
Purdue8%8%— bid, 16¢ askpolled, 28s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Purdue8%Kalshi 8%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Purdue
8%
8%
— bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Purdue
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Purdue
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Illinois7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 28s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Illinois7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Illinois
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Illinois
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Illinois
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Maryland7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 28s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Maryland7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Maryland
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Maryland
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Maryland
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Washington7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 28s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Washington7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Washington
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Washington
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Washington
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Rutgers3%3%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 28s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Rutgers3%Kalshi 3%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Rutgers
3%
3%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Rutgers
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rutgers
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $156
Penn State1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 28s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Penn State1%Kalshi 1%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Penn State
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Penn State
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn State
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $293
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- UCLA
- Indiana
- Ohio State
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
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Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Big Ten Regular Season: Top 4 Finishers". UCLA leads at 85%. Next is Indiana at 84%. $9K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 7, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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