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What the markets expect
John Henry Daley 9.1%
Next is Tobi Osunsanmi at 5.8%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
John Henry Daley9.1%11%9.1% fair5¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, just now11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)John Henry Daley9.1%Kalshi 11%(9.1% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
John Henry Daley
9.1%
11%
9.1% fair
5¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, just now
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
John Henry Daley
9.1%
Kalshi 11%(9.1% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- John Henry Daley
- Last price
- 11%
- Fair, margin removed
- 9.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $800
Tobi Osunsanmi5.8%7%5.8% fair3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, just now7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Tobi Osunsanmi5.8%Kalshi 7%(5.8% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Tobi Osunsanmi
5.8%
7%
5.8% fair
3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, just now
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Tobi Osunsanmi
5.8%
Kalshi 7%(5.8% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tobi Osunsanmi
- Last price
- 7%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $586
Anthony Smith5%6%5% fair— bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Anthony Smith5%Kalshi 6%(5% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Anthony Smith
5%
6%
5% fair
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Anthony Smith
5%
Kalshi 6%(5% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Anthony Smith
- Last price
- 6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $1K
Rolijah Hardy5%6%5% fair1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Rolijah Hardy5%Kalshi 6%(5% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Rolijah Hardy
5%
6%
5% fair
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Rolijah Hardy
5%
Kalshi 6%(5% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rolijah Hardy
- Last price
- 6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $800
Stephen Daley5%6%5% fair— bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Stephen Daley5%Kalshi 6%(5% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Stephen Daley
5%
6%
5% fair
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Stephen Daley
5%
Kalshi 6%(5% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Stephen Daley
- Last price
- 6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $650
Kenyatta Jackson Jr.4.1%5%4.1% fair— bid, 7¢ askpolled, just now7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Kenyatta Jackson Jr.4.1%Kalshi 5%(4.1% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kenyatta Jackson Jr.
4.1%
5%
4.1% fair
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, just now
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kenyatta Jackson Jr.
4.1%
Kalshi 5%(4.1% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kenyatta Jackson Jr.
- Last price
- 5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $180
TJ Bush Jr.4.1%5%4.1% fair1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)TJ Bush Jr.4.1%Kalshi 5%(4.1% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
TJ Bush Jr.
4.1%
5%
4.1% fair
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
TJ Bush Jr.
4.1%
Kalshi 5%(4.1% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- TJ Bush Jr.
- Last price
- 5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $247
Josh Burnham2.5%3%2.5% fair— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Josh Burnham2.5%Kalshi 3%(2.5% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Josh Burnham
2.5%
3%
2.5% fair
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Josh Burnham
2.5%
Kalshi 3%(2.5% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Burnham
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $69
Aiden Gobaira1.7%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Aiden Gobaira1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Aiden Gobaira
1.7%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Aiden Gobaira
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aiden Gobaira
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Bear Alexander1.7%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Bear Alexander1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Bear Alexander
1.7%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Bear Alexander
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bear Alexander
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Show 40 more outcomesHide 40 outcomes
Cameron Brandt1.7%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Cameron Brandt1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Cameron Brandt
1.7%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Cameron Brandt
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cameron Brandt
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Christian Alliegro1.7%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Christian Alliegro1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Christian Alliegro
1.7%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Christian Alliegro
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian Alliegro
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Dallin Havea1.7%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Dallin Havea1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Dallin Havea
1.7%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Dallin Havea
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallin Havea
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Darrell Prater1.7%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Darrell Prater1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Darrell Prater
1.7%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Darrell Prater
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Darrell Prater
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Dion Crawford1.7%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Dion Crawford1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Dion Crawford
1.7%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Dion Crawford
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dion Crawford
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Emmanuel Olagbaju1.7%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Emmanuel Olagbaju1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Emmanuel Olagbaju
1.7%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Emmanuel Olagbaju
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Emmanuel Olagbaju
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Isaiah Ward1.7%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Isaiah Ward1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Isaiah Ward
1.7%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Isaiah Ward
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Isaiah Ward
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Jacob Anderson1.7%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Jacob Anderson1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Jacob Anderson
1.7%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Jacob Anderson
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jacob Anderson
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Jacob Lane1.7%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Jacob Lane1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Jacob Lane
1.7%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Jacob Lane
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jacob Lane
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Jaxon Howard1.7%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Jaxon Howard1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Jaxon Howard
1.7%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Jaxon Howard
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaxon Howard
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Josh BurnhamKalshi: “J'Dan Burnett”1.7%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Josh Burnham1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Josh Burnham
Kalshi: “J'Dan Burnett”
1.7%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Josh Burnham
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- J'Dan Burnett
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Kameryn Crawford1.7%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Kameryn Crawford1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kameryn Crawford
1.7%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kameryn Crawford
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kameryn Crawford
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Karter Menz1.7%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Karter Menz1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Karter Menz
1.7%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Karter Menz
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Karter Menz
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Tony Rojas1.7%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Tony Rojas1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tony Rojas
1.7%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tony Rojas
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tony Rojas
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Tre Moore1.7%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Tre Moore1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tre Moore
1.7%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tre Moore
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tre Moore
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Zahir Mathis1.7%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Zahir Mathis1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Zahir Mathis
1.7%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Zahir Mathis
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zahir Mathis
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Braydon Brus1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Braydon Brus1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Braydon Brus
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Braydon Brus
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Braydon Brus
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Braylan Shelby1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Braylan Shelby1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Braylan Shelby
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Braylan Shelby
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Braylan Shelby
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Caleb Bacon1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Caleb Bacon1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Caleb Bacon
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Caleb Bacon
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caleb Bacon
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Carter Janki1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Carter Janki1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Carter Janki
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Carter Janki
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carter Janki
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Charles Correa1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Charles Correa1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Charles Correa
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Charles Correa
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charles Correa
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Derrick Brown Jr.1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Derrick Brown Jr.1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Derrick Brown Jr.
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Derrick Brown Jr.
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Derrick Brown Jr.
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Eddrick Houston1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Eddrick Houston1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Eddrick Houston
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Eddrick Houston
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eddrick Houston
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Isaiah Jones1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Isaiah Jones1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Isaiah Jones
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Isaiah Jones
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Isaiah Jones
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Jide Abasiri1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Jide Abasiri1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Jide Abasiri
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Jide Abasiri
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jide Abasiri
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Junior Poyser1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Junior Poyser1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Junior Poyser
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Junior Poyser
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Junior Poyser
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Kahmari Brown1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Kahmari Brown1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kahmari Brown
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kahmari Brown
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kahmari Brown
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Keahnist Thompson1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Keahnist Thompson1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Keahnist Thompson
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Keahnist Thompson
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keahnist Thompson
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Malachi Davis1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Malachi Davis1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Malachi Davis
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Malachi Davis
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malachi Davis
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Mario Landino1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Mario Landino1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Mario Landino
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Mario Landino
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mario Landino
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Mason Posa1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Mason Posa1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Mason Posa
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Mason Posa
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mason Posa
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Maverick Baranowski1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Maverick Baranowski1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Maverick Baranowski
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Maverick Baranowski
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Maverick Baranowski
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Michael Kilbane1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Michael Kilbane1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Michael Kilbane
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Michael Kilbane
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael Kilbane
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Owen Chambliss1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Owen Chambliss1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Owen Chambliss
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Owen Chambliss
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Owen Chambliss
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Sebastian Cheeks1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Sebastian Cheeks1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Sebastian Cheeks
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Sebastian Cheeks
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sebastian Cheeks
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Sidney Stewart1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Sidney Stewart1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Sidney Stewart
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Sidney Stewart
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sidney Stewart
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Ty Morris1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Ty Morris1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Ty Morris
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Ty Morris
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ty Morris
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Tyrique Tucker1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Tyrique Tucker1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Tyrique Tucker
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Tyrique Tucker
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyrique Tucker
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Williams Nwaneri1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Williams Nwaneri1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Williams Nwaneri
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Williams Nwaneri
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Williams Nwaneri
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Wisdom Simms1.2%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, just now3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Wisdom Simms1.2%Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Wisdom Simms
1.2%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, just now
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Wisdom Simms
1.2%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Wisdom Simms
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- John Henry Daley
- Tobi Osunsanmi
- Anthony Smith
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Big Ten: Sacks Leader". John Henry Daley leads at 9.1%. Next is Tobi Osunsanmi at 5.8%. $5K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 7, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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