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What the markets expect
Jeremiah Smith 46.8%
Next is Jesse Legree at 24.1%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Jeremiah Smith46.8%70%46.8% fair64¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 33s ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Jeremiah Smith46.8%Kalshi 70%(46.8% fair)polled, 33s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Jeremiah Smith
46.8%
70%
46.8% fair
64¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Jeremiah Smith
46.8%
Kalshi 70%(46.8% fair)polled, 33s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jeremiah Smith
- Last price
- 70%
- Fair, margin removed
- 46.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
- Volume
- $12K
Jesse Legree24.1%36%24.1% fair14¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 33s ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Jesse Legree24.1%Kalshi 36%(24.1% fair)polled, 33s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Jesse Legree
24.1%
36%
24.1% fair
14¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Jesse Legree
24.1%
Kalshi 36%(24.1% fair)polled, 33s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jesse Legree
- Last price
- 36%
- Fair, margin removed
- 24.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $1K
Malachi Toney6.7%10%6.7% fair3¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 33s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Malachi Toney6.7%Kalshi 10%(6.7% fair)polled, 33s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Malachi Toney
6.7%
10%
6.7% fair
3¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Malachi Toney
6.7%
Kalshi 10%(6.7% fair)polled, 33s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malachi Toney
- Last price
- 10%
- Fair, margin removed
- 6.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
KJ Duff2%3%2% fair— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 33s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)KJ Duff2%Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 33s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
KJ Duff
2%
3%
2% fair
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
KJ Duff
2%
Kalshi 3%(2% fair)polled, 33s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- KJ Duff
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $3K
Amare Thomas0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Amare Thomas0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Amare Thomas
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Amare Thomas
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amare Thomas
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $17
Anthony Evans IIIKalshi: “Isaiah Sategna III”0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Anthony Evans III0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Anthony Evans III
Kalshi: “Isaiah Sategna III”
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Anthony Evans III
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Isaiah Sategna III
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $223
Anthony Evans III0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Anthony Evans III0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Anthony Evans III
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Anthony Evans III
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Anthony Evans III
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $540
Braylon Staley0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Braylon Staley0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Braylon Staley
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Braylon Staley
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Braylon Staley
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $490
Cam Coleman0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Cam Coleman0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cam Coleman
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cam Coleman
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cam Coleman
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Charlie Becker0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Charlie Becker0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Charlie Becker
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Charlie Becker
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charlie Becker
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Show 42 more outcomesHide 42 outcomes
Danny Scudero0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Danny Scudero0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Danny Scudero
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Danny Scudero
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Danny Scudero
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $93
Duce Robinson0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Duce Robinson0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Duce Robinson
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Duce Robinson
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Duce Robinson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $572
Evan Stewart0.7%1%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 33s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Evan Stewart0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Evan Stewart
0.7%
1%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Evan Stewart
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Evan Stewart
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $488
Mario Craver0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Mario Craver0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mario Craver
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mario Craver
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mario Craver
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $164
Ryan Coleman-Williams0.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 33s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Ryan Coleman-Williams0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ryan Coleman-Williams
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ryan Coleman-Williams
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Coleman-Williams
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Ryan Wingo0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ryan Wingo0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ryan Wingo
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ryan Wingo
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Wingo
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $284
Wyatt Young0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Wyatt Young0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Wyatt Young
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Wyatt Young
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Wyatt Young
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $649
Anthony Evans IIIKalshi: “Tre' Brown III”0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Anthony Evans III0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Anthony Evans III
Kalshi: “Tre' Brown III”
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Anthony Evans III
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tre' Brown III
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Anthony Evans IIIKalshi: “Greg Gaines III”0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Anthony Evans III0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Anthony Evans III
Kalshi: “Greg Gaines III”
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Anthony Evans III
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Greg Gaines III
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Beau Sparks0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Beau Sparks0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Beau Sparks
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Beau Sparks
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Beau Sparks
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Braden Pegan0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Braden Pegan0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Braden Pegan
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Braden Pegan
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Braden Pegan
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Chase Hendricks0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Chase Hendricks0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Chase Hendricks
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Chase Hendricks
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chase Hendricks
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Chris Dawn Jr.0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Chris Dawn Jr.0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Chris Dawn Jr.
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Chris Dawn Jr.
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Dawn Jr.
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Cooper Barkate0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Cooper Barkate0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cooper Barkate
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cooper Barkate
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cooper Barkate
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Easton Messer0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Easton Messer0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Easton Messer
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Easton Messer
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Easton Messer
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Griffin Wilde0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Griffin Wilde0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Griffin Wilde
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Griffin Wilde
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Griffin Wilde
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Ian Strong0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ian Strong0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ian Strong
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ian Strong
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ian Strong
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Iverson Hooks0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Iverson Hooks0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Iverson Hooks
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Iverson Hooks
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iverson Hooks
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Jackson Harris0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jackson Harris0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jackson Harris
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jackson Harris
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jackson Harris
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Jalen Jones0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jalen Jones0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jalen Jones
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jalen Jones
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jalen Jones
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Jamari Johnson0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jamari Johnson0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jamari Johnson
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jamari Johnson
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jamari Johnson
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Jared Richardson0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jared Richardson0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jared Richardson
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jared Richardson
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jared Richardson
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Javen Nicholas0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Javen Nicholas0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Javen Nicholas
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Javen Nicholas
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Javen Nicholas
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Jayshon Platt0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jayshon Platt0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jayshon Platt
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jayshon Platt
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jayshon Platt
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Jordan Dwyer0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jordan Dwyer0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jordan Dwyer
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jordan Dwyer
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jordan Dwyer
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Josh Derry0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Josh Derry0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Josh Derry
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Josh Derry
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Derry
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Junior Sherrill0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Junior Sherrill0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Junior Sherrill
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Junior Sherrill
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Junior Sherrill
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Jyziah Rockwell0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jyziah Rockwell0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jyziah Rockwell
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jyziah Rockwell
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jyziah Rockwell
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Kam Perry0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kam Perry0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kam Perry
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kam Perry
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kam Perry
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Keshaun Singleton0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Keshaun Singleton0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Keshaun Singleton
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Keshaun Singleton
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keshaun Singleton
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Mike Matthews0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Mike Matthews0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mike Matthews
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mike Matthews
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mike Matthews
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Nico Brown0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Nico Brown0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nico Brown
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nico Brown
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nico Brown
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Nik McMillan0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Nik McMillan0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nik McMillan
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nik McMillan
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nik McMillan
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Omarion Miller0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Omarion Miller0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Omarion Miller
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Omarion Miller
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Omarion Miller
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Que'Sean Brown0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Que'Sean Brown0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Que'Sean Brown
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Que'Sean Brown
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Que'Sean Brown
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Sean Wilson0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Sean Wilson0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sean Wilson
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sean Wilson
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sean Wilson
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
T.J. Moore0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)T.J. Moore0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
T.J. Moore
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
T.J. Moore
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- T.J. Moore
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Terrance Carter Jr.0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Terrance Carter Jr.0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Terrance Carter Jr.
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Terrance Carter Jr.
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Terrance Carter Jr.
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Tre Richardson0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Tre Richardson0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tre Richardson
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tre Richardson
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tre Richardson
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Trell Harris0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Trell Harris0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Trell Harris
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Trell Harris
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trell Harris
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Trent Walker0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Trent Walker0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Trent Walker
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Trent Walker
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trent Walker
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Victor Snow0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 33s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Victor Snow0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Victor Snow
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 33s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Victor Snow
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Victor Snow
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, Fox Sports, Bleacher Report
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Jeremiah Smith
- Jesse Legree
- Malachi Toney
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Biletnikoff Award Winner". Jeremiah Smith leads at 46.8%. Next is Jesse Legree at 24.1%. $35K has traded across 52 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 7, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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