The Prediction Markets

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 23

Closed
May 19, 2026
Traded
$60K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on May 19, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 158 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
The Great Divide - Noah Kahan
98.5%
Polymarket 99.9%(98.5% fair)polled, 3809 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
The Great Divide - Noah Kahan
Last price
99.9%
Fair, margin removed
98.5%
As of
Polled 158 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.8¢
Volume
$52K
Trade this on Polymarket
Dandelion - Ella Langley
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3809 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dandelion - Ella Langley
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 158 d ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3809 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 158 d ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$898
Trade this on Polymarket
Bully - Ye
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3809 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bully - Ye
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 158 d ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$895
Trade this on Polymarket
Octane - Don Toliver
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3809 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Octane - Don Toliver
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 158 d ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$883
Trade this on Polymarket
SWAG - Justin Bieber
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3809 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
SWAG - Justin Bieber
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 158 d ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$898
Trade this on Polymarket
Arirang - BTS
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3809 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arirang - BTS
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 158 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$963
Trade this on Polymarket
BROWN - Chris Brown
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3809 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
BROWN - Chris Brown
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 158 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$914
Trade this on Polymarket
The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 3809 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 158 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • The Great Divide - Noah Kahan
  • Dandelion - Ella Langley
  • I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 23". The Great Divide - Noah Kahan last traded at 98.5%. Next is Dandelion - Ella Langley at 0.4%. $60K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on May 19, 2026.

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of May 23, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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