The Prediction Markets

BNB price at the end of the year?

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$206K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

700.00 - $799.99 45%

Next is 650 at 41%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
700.00 - $799.99
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
700.00 - $799.99
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$79
Trade this on Kalshi
650
41%
Polymarket 41%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
650
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
600.00 - $699.99
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
600.00 - $699.99
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$68
Trade this on Kalshi
600
22%
Polymarket 22%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
600
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
1000
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
1000
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$45K
Trade this on Polymarket
800.00 - $899.99
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
800.00 - $899.99
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$498
Trade this on Kalshi
1100
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
1100
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
1300
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
1300
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
500.00 - $599.99
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
500.00 - $599.99
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$138
Trade this on Kalshi
900.00 - $999.99
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
900.00 - $999.99
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$67
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 23 more outcomes
1000.00 - $1099.99
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
1000.00 - $1099.99
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$242
Trade this on Kalshi
500
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
500
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$33K
Trade this on Polymarket
1200.00 - $1299.99
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
1200.00 - $1299.99
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$53
Trade this on Kalshi
1300.00 - $1399.99
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
1300.00 - $1399.99
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$51
Trade this on Kalshi
1600.00 - $1699.99
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
1600.00 - $1699.99
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
1900.00 - $1999.99
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
1900.00 - $1999.99
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
1200
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
1200
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
1400.00 - $1499.99
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
1400.00 - $1499.99
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
400
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
400
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
400.00 - $499.99
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
400.00 - $499.99
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
2,000 or above
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,000 or above
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
399.99 or below
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
399.99 or below
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
1100.00 - $1199.99
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
1100.00 - $1199.99
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$852
Trade this on Kalshi
1800.00 - $1899.99
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
1800.00 - $1899.99
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
300
4.9%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
300
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.6¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,515 (15.2x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
1500
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
1500
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Polymarket
1400
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
1400
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
1600
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
1600
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket
1800
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
1800
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$270
Trade this on Polymarket
200
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
200
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
1500.00 - $1599.99
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
1500.00 - $1599.99
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$237
Trade this on Kalshi
1700.00 - $1799.99
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
1700.00 - $1799.99
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Kalshi
2000
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
2000
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$607
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 700.00 - $799.99
  • 650
  • 600.00 - $699.99

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list 700.00 - $799.99 for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "BNB price at the end of the year? ". 700.00 - $799.99 leads at 45%. Next is 650 at 41%. $206K has traded across 33 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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