The Prediction Markets

Bochum vs Wolfsburg: Total Goals

Starts in 7 hKickoff
Traded
$7K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Over 0.5 goals scored 96%

Next is Over 1.5 goals scored at 87%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Over 0.5 goals scored
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 0.5 goals scored
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 1.5 goals scored
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 1.5 goals scored
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 2.5 goals scored
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 2.5 goals scored
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$49
Trade this on Kalshi
VfL Wolfsburg
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfL Wolfsburg
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 3.5 goals scored
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 3.5 goals scored
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
VfL Bochum
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfL Bochum
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 4.5 goals scored
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 4.5 goals scored
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$101
Trade this on Kalshi
Draw (VfL Bochum vs. VfL Wolfsburg)
23.5%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (VfL Bochum vs. VfL Wolfsburg)
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 5.5 goals scored
13.5%
Kalshi 13.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 5.5 goals scored
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: bundesliga.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIFA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Over 0.5 goals scored
  • Over 1.5 goals scored
  • Over 2.5 goals scored

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Over 0.5 goals scored for this event.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Bochum vs Wolfsburg: Total Goals". Over 0.5 goals scored leads at 96%. Next is Over 1.5 goals scored at 87%. $7K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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